We finally got those pesky clouds out of here and now we’re all set for a beautiful day across the state. Highs will reach into the lower 50s with calm winds. It’s the perfect fall day to get outside! Tonight, with clear skies we should drop back into the mid 30s, with scattered frost.
By Wednesday afternoon you’ll notice clouds increasing with the approach of our next storm system. Highs on Wednesday will be warm, in the upper 50s. This isn’t a particularly strong system, so there’s no threat of severe weather and the chance of even a rumble of thunder is very low. Rainfall amounts will also stay light, mainly averaging a quarter of an inch or so. Clouds and showers will keep Wednesday night’s lows in the 40s. The sun returns for Thursday, with highs around 50.
Models are absolutely horrible for the system we have coming Friday-Saturday. The timing differences between the best models is awful, at times being up to 18 hours apart! They do agree, however, on this system being very strong. We’re still keeping an eye on the severe weather threat, but with timing differences being so great, it’s impossible to say when that threat would be greatest. It looks like straight-line winds with a squall line would be our greatest threat. I’ll keep an eye on it. Until better model data comes in, it’s impossible to say what the weekend forecast looks like. You gotta love these change-of-season months! (ha)
As for Thanksgiving week, it’s still looking very chilly. I just looked at the models and it still looks like we’ll have a strong cold front come through here Wednesday-Wednesday night. I wouldn’t be surprised to see some flurries Thanksgiving Day. It’s still too early to make a certain forecast, but that’s how it looks at this point.
I’ll keep an eye on the severe weather potential for the end of this week, as well as that Thanksgiving forecast!
I’ll end with this…. Some of you may have seen the parade of winter storms hitting the West Coast lately? The ski resorts are loving it, of course. I found this posted for the Sierras. They’re expecting their first big snow of the season to start tomorrow. Maybe someday it’ll be our turn? I can dream, right?