A rainy day

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SUMMARY

The cold front that has taken its sweet time getting here is finally making some progress in our direction today.  Expect rain showers all day, increasing in coverage and intensity as we go through the afternoon and evening. Don’t be surprised if you hear some thunder and have some gusty winds. Storms should stay below severe limits, as heavy downpours will be the main threat. The rain tapers off tonight and tomorrow morning, leaving us with mostly to partly cloudy skies by the afternoon of Good Friday. Saturday continues to look nice but another disturbance will drop in here for Saturday night and bring more rain showers. Those showers may linger into Easter Sunday morning, before we get a return of some partly cloudy skies by Easter afternoon (hopefully!). Yet another series of disturbances begin to roll in here Sunday night, and those will stick with us through the first half of next week, followed by a big cool down.

Flood watches have been issued for most of Middle Tennessee. At this time, Cumberland, Fentress, and White Counties are not in the watch.

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DISCUSSION

Below is the weather map this morning showing all the flood watches (dark green-shaded counties) and the risk for severe t-storms (yellow). That severe wx threat will stay to our south, but we can’t rule out a strong storm or two across East TN. The main threat will be heavy downpours of rain.

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The disturbance rolling in here for Saturday night looks like it will linger with us through Easter morning. I’ll keep an eye on it, though, as things could still change with that. I’d still be ready to dodge some showers if you have Easter sunrise services to attend.

Then, our attention will begin turning to a strong cold front that will be making its way through here on Tuesday. This one is a much faster front than the one we’re dealing with today. Enough instability may build ahead of the front to bring us some strong storms on Tuesday. The strength of that cold front is also enough to generate storms. I’ll keep an eye on how that comes together. Then, once the cold front moves through we’ll go into a much cooler pattern that will likely bring frost and possibly even some light freeze conditions to the plateau the end of next week.  Those below normal temps look to stick around through the middle of April, limiting severe weather chances for that time period.

Below is the map of current temperatures across the U.S. There’s still plenty of cold air hanging out in the northern U.S. Next week’s cold front will help usher some of that cooler air southward.

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I meant to tell you all yesterday that the Tuesday edition of the Crossville Chronicle did a short story on my visit to Martin Elementary to talk to Mrs. Donathan’s Kindergarten class about the weather.  Here it is in case you missed it. Matilda went along too to talk to the kids about our trip to the Kennedy Space Center to see the new GOES satellite that was launched on March 1. One little girl was very interested in living on Mars.

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You all have a great day and try to stay dry! I’m working on an article for the Fentress Courier and Livingston Enterprise about the different types of winter we have (ie. blackberry, dogwood, etc). I’ll share that as soon as it goes to print!

 

 

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