Yesterday, we saw quite an outbreak of severe weather across the southern Plains. This morning, we’re seeing the leftovers of those storms, in the form of a line of storms, moving through West TN. These should weaken as they move into Middle TN. Some of the heaviest rain will even move into Kentucky, out of TN. How much of this holds together will determine our weather from 10:00 a.m to 1:00 p.m. My current thinking continues to be that this rain activity will really struggle to the reach the plateau. One thing is for certain, we do not have to worry about severe storms until tonight. Some showers may move over some of us later on today, but the severe threat comes tonight.
That threat will come in the form of a squall line, very similar to what we had with our last storm event. Damaging, straight-line winds will be the main threat. We cannot rule out an isolated tornado, thought that threat appears low at this time.
The more sun we get today, and the warmer we get, will affect how severe storms will be tonight.
It will be very breezy today! I strongly discourage outdoor burning.
I’ll be monitoring our storm threat through the day and keeping you posted here and on Facebook.
This is the radar at 7:30 a.m. This is right on par with what we expected radar to look like this morning. This line will slow down (already is), weaken (already showing signs of that), and move north as we go through the morning. Most of our day on the plateau should stay rather dry, though an isolated shower can’t be ruled out, for sure.
And this is the severe weather threats for tonight. Notice most of the plateau is in the slight risk (level 2 out of 5).
I’ll update, as needed, through the day!