A nice Sunday…but with a little catch

SUMMARY

Well, the good news is that the clouds have not been stubborn and have been willing to move on out of here. We’ll still see some clouds hanging around but we’re definitely looking at partly cloudy skies today and not the mostly cloudy skies we saw on Saturday.

This comes with a bit of a catch…

Since we are already seeing sun, and the spring sun angle is such that things quickly warm-up. Plus, we have a lot of cold air aloft. The heated surface and cold air above us leads to an unstable atmosphere. That could lead to an isolated shower or storm this afternoon. We have a cold northwest flow aloft, so anything that develops will move northwest to southeast. I mention this not so that you’ll cancel any outdoor plans, not in the least, but that you are aware that there is a slight risk for a storm this afternoon that would contain lightning. With so much cold air aloft, small hail would also be possible.

The northwest flow aloft is the same kind of northwest flow that gives us snow showers on the plateau in the winter. That northwest flow hits the southwest-northeast oriented plateau at a 90-degree angle, maximizing the amount of rising motion to the air hitting the edge of the plateau. Like in the winter, this same flow could produce a shower or storm for us this afternoon. The chance of this happening is set at about 20%.

That means most of us will stay dry today.

Again, don’t cancel any outdoor plans today. Just keep an eye on the sky and a ear out for thunder.

The upcoming work week looks mild but unsettled. There will be a chance for a shower or storm each day, with those chances being greatest on Thursday. Right now, next weekend looks good. That would make it only the 5th weekend this year that both weekend days were rain-free.

A place that would have loved to have had beautiful weather this weekend was Louisville, Kentucky, where the Kentucky Derby was run this weekend. It turned out to be the wettest race in history. By race time, 2.31″ of rain had fallen and officials downgraded the track from “muddy” to “sloppy” before the race began.

Never the less, that didn’t slow Justify down, as he won the 144th running of the Kentucky Derby in front of a crowd of 157,813, the seventh largest crowd in Derby history.  Justify took command at the half-mile pole and roared away to a 2 ½-length victory over Good Magic. The prize for first place is $2 million, with 62% of that going to the victor, for a total payout of $1.24 million. The colt was purchased for $500,000. Not too shabby, eh?

Congrats, Justify!

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