This Afternoon: Severe T-Storms with damaging winds/hail
We have yet another day of storms ahead of us folks, and you’ll need to stay weather aware this afternoon and evening. This morning’s storms are your typical summer storms, with lots of lightning and heavy downpours of rain. This is expected to move out by lunchtime but that will allow the sun to shine. That sunshine will once again destabilize our atmosphere and set the stage for another round of strong to severe thunderstorms later this afternoon.
If the clouds and showers/storms hang around and keep us from getting sunshine today, then this afternoon’s storms will be much more tame than they would otherwise be. If you see the sun come out, you know we better be ready for some rough afternoon storms.
Right now, visible satellite shows clearing that may move in. Sometimes the clouds get hung up on the plateau and that can change everything.
The image below shows our storms from Nashville to Crossville, with clearing to follow. You can already see our next batch of storms developing along the western border of Kentucky.
After sunset, the strongest storms are expected to have moved out of the area.
The main threat with today’s storms is large hail and damaging straight-line winds. The tornado threat is very low. And just like the past few days, any storm that develops, whether it be severe or not, will be capable of torrential rainfall, frequent lightning, gusty winds, and small hail. Keep in mind that hail must reach one inch in diameter to qualify as severe.
I’ve circled on the map below the storms I’ll be watching for this afternoon. They will intensify and move southeast.
And there’s plenty of lightning again today, both with our morning storms and with the line that will organize and move this way later today.
The NWS Nashville released this map, which outlines the threats.
WeatherTAP’s severe weather outlook shows you what the Storm Prediction Center is thinking, based on the orientation of the slight risk area. The outlook is not for our morning storms, but for the afternoon storms that will move out of Missouri this afternoon.
As far as the extended forecast goes, it doesn’t look nearly as dry as it looked earlier in the week. In fact, it’s looking like it will continue to be unsettled, with mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms.
I won’t say much here since so much as already been said. I do want to take a moment to reemphasize the importance of taking lightning seriously. As I was driving to work this morning, I had driven out of the rain and the sun was trying to shine. Then, a big cloud-to-ground lightning strike hit less than a quarter of a mile from me, followed by a big BOOM. It was very dramatic (ha). Then, I met fire trucks headed that direction as I got closer to town. Hopefully, the two aren’t related, but I have already seen a report of a house fire in Lebanon this morning from a lightning strike.
Remember, when thunder roars go indoors.
Last night’s lightning show from the line of storms that moved in on us from Kentucky was quite impressive. I walked outside and watched it for several minutes. It was one of the most beautiful lightning displays I have ever seen. It’s always been so interesting to me how Nature uses the same elements that can take our lives and cause such fear and turn them into something so beautiful at the same time.
I’ll be keeping an eye on the radar all day and I’ll be keeping up with what the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is thinking, as well as the NWS Nashville office. All of our watches come from the SPC, located in Norman, Oklahoma, while all of our warnings come from the NWS Nashville office.
Thanks also to those of you who stayed up with me last night as those storms moved in. Thankfully, they stayed below severe limits.
You all have a great day and stay tuned for weather updates, especially over on Facebook. Looking out my window right now makes me thankful I’m inside! ha