A drier weekend and a meteor shower worth looking out for!

Picture29

Main Threats

No widespread hazardous weather is expected.

Summary

We have more scattered showers and storms to deal with today. The clouds and this morning’s showers should limit instability and keep storms from getting too rowdy this afternoon/evening. Never the less, always be mindful of that lightning.

It looks like the weekend forecast may be drier. We have a disturbance swinging in here tomorrow afternoon that I think will spark off some showers and storms, so be aware of that if you have outdoor plans. Drier air should be working in here for Sunday and that should really limit shower/storm activity. This means Sunday may be the drier day of the weekend.

Monday and Tuesday are looking drier with the latest data coming in. Let’s hope this holds true and we get a couple of nice days in here. Another front moves back toward us on Wednesday, bringing more rounds of showers and storms.

One thing is for sure, if anyone bought a new lawn mower this spring you sure picked a fine year to break it in!

This morning’s radar shows are morning showers moving off to the east, while more showers/t-showers develop off to our northwest and move this way. Keep the umbrella handy today, folks.

RAD_KOHX_N0R

Discussion

The pattern of above normal precip and below normal temps continues in earnest, folks! This is one summer where I’ve heard very few complaints about the heat. So far this month we’ve picked up exactly 1.5 inches of rain here at weatherTAP, with 1.27 inches of that falling in the past 24 hours.

Every extended outlook I’ve looked at this morning keeps us in a pattern of below average temps and above average precip. If we could just stay in this pattern right on into winter……. SNOWMAGEDDON! haha

Tropics

Hey! What do you know? There’s actually something to watch out there! But, don’t worry too much over this one just yet. It’s many, many hundreds of miles away and it only has a 20% chance of developing into a named storm. Plus, there are good indications that it will run into a very hostile environment the middle of next week that may spell its demise. Still, this is the most we’ve had to keep an eye on for quite some time!

two_atl_5d0

Yesterday, the National Hurricane Center updated the outlook for this hurricane season and they have lowered the chances of this being an active year. They now say there is a 60% chance of this being a year with below normal activity. Back in May, they had that probability set at 25%. This is good news for coastal residents. I will mention that long-range forecasting has its challenges, and we need to also remember that it only takes one bad storm moving into a very populated area to make for a really bad season. I know, I’m always the weather optimist, right? ha

38845811_10156635431800842_2596143443637960704_n

Records

I’ve talked about the incredible heat wave of 1930 a lot this week, but there was another big one that hit exactly 50 years later, and we were right in the middle of that heat wave on this date in 1980. August 10, 1980 marked the fifth straight day in a row for Crossville breaking record high temps. We topped out at 95 degrees on August 10. Whew, that’s a far cry from the 75 that we’re expecting today!

Louisiana remembers today as a somber day and one that stands out in their hurricane history. It was on this day in 1856 that 140 vacationers drowned on the Isle Derniere (Last Island) when a hurricane sent a five-foot storm surge their way. Today, we would have had that entire island evacuated long before that storm hit. Thank God times have changed!

On this day in 1882 the folks in Sandusky, Ohio must have thought they had lost their minds. A four-minute snow squall was reported in the town as temps were VERY unseasonably low. Some suburbs of Chicago reported frost on this morning and farmers reported a loss of crops to freezing temps across Iowa! Normally, all these areas are well into the 80s this time of year and often have temps even warmer than that.

News

I have some exciting news for those of you who enjoy learning meteorology! The NWS Nashville will be offering free online courses for you to learn some basic meteorology. The courses start August 22nd. It’s not a bad time to learn some new skills or brush up on some old skills, especially since we’ll be in the fall severe weather season before we know it. Plus, it’s already hurricane season and some of these courses could help you understand those storms better, as well. I’m thinking about doing some discussion, etc with our social media as these courses are taught. Let me know if you’re interested in me doing something with that. I might also add something about the courses here in the News section of this blog as they’re being taught. For more info and to sign up for the courses, please go to https://www.weather.gov/ohx/weather101

I also want to mention that the Perseid Meteor shower peaks this weekend. Hopefully, we’ll get some clearer night skies and we’ll be able to see them. This is supposed to be one of the more active Perseid Meteor showers that we’ve seen in some time. I’ll remind folks of this on Facebook this weekend. I think we’ll be able to see the show. Fingers crossed!

From Space.com…..

According to NASA meteor expert Bill Cooke, “The Perseids are perhaps the most popular meteor shower of the year; and in 2018, they’ll be the best shower of the year. During the Perseids’ peak we should see about 60-70 meteors per hour.”  The meteor shower’s peak will be Aug. 11-13, Cooke said, but he’s inclined this year to lean toward the night of Aug. 12-13 for the better show.

“This year the moon will be near new moon, it will be a crescent, which means it will set before the Perseid show gets underway after midnight,” Cooke told Space.com. “The moon is very favorable for the Perseids this year, and that’ll make the Perseids probably the best shower of 2018 for people who want to go out and view it.” The Perseids are rich in fireballs, so the show should be even better.

Don’t forget to look for Mars in the southeastern sky and Venus in the western.

To best see the Perseids, go to the darkest possible location and lean back to observe as much sky as possible directly above you. The rates of Perseids visible will increase from about 10 p.m. all the way through dawn, so the later you can look the better. Earlier in the night there will be fewer meteors, but the ones that appear will have longer tails as they graze along more of the atmosphere.

You all have a great day and a great weekend!

Leave a Reply