A winter weather advisory has been issued for the Cumberland Plateau for late Monday night and Tuesday morning. Accumulations of snow areawide should reach 2 inches, with isolated locations picking up as much as 3 inches of snow. My confidence in this forecast is very high, and I have been very consistent in my forecast.
Could we get less? Of course. But I’d put that chance at about 10%. Could we get more? Of course. I actually put that chance at about 20%. If some of the model data is correct and a stronger surface low develops on the front as it approaches us, we could be looking at a 3-5 inch snow areawide. My confidence in that materializing is low, but not zero.
The bottom line is that we will be getting some snowfall Monday night and Tuesday morning, with significant impacts to travel likely on Tuesday. Be prepared for that.
Also be prepared for the bitter cold temperatures that are coming. Please make sure the PEOPLE in your life are ready for this cold, that your PETS are adequately sheltered, and that your PIPES are protected. Check, double check, and then triple check all three of those to make sure they are ready for single-digit lows.
The map below is the winter weather advisories and winter storm watches in effect for Monday night and Tuesday morning.
You may notice that Morgan and Scott Counties are under winter storm watches. They are under the umbrella of the NWS in Morristown, who feels like those areas could get 3-5 inches of snow (they admit their confidence in that is low). Also, notice that most of the Deep South is in a winter storm watch. That is because the definition of a winter storm is only 2 inches for those folks. That amount is only a winter weather advisory for our neck of the woods.
So, if you think we’re going to be cold you better be glad you’re not in the northern plains. They expect wind chills to reach levels not seen since the mid 1990s! Check out this map. Their “feels like” temperatures could go to 60 below zero!
I’ll keep you all updated tomorrow! Stay tuned!