I hope everyone is having a good evening. It’s a good one to stay in, right?
Short term models show rain overspreading the plateau after midnight. Some of that rain could become heavy at times as we get on into the night. The warm front is still well to our south, lifting north. That will help kick off lots of showers and perhaps even a rumble of thunder. Be careful if you must get out in the morning. Some roads are liable to be flooded.
On Saturday, we should get a bit of a break as the warm front lifts into KY. This could allow us to see some sun. While that would be nice, we don’t want that sun warming us up ahead of the strong cold front coming Saturday night. The storms already have the potential to be strong to severe. We don’t need to be throwing more fuel on the fire with sunshine heating things up. So, let’s hope for one more cloudy day!
By early afternoon, we’ll see our squall line develop across eastern Arkansas and we’ll watch that march east through the afternoon and evening. It should be arriving here on the plateau sometime between 9:00 p.m. and 3:00 a.m. I’ll have a better time nailed down in Saturday morning’s full blog update. If discrete storms form out ahead of the line we will have to watch those very closely. Hopefully, that won’t happen and, as of now, I think that chance is really low.
All modes of severe weather are possible Saturday night, including an isolated tornado. Please keep in mind that regardless of severe storms, any wind gusts over 40 mph could topple a tree in this wet ground. Severe t-storm winds are 58 mph or greater. Therefore, even strong storms could give us big problems with these trees sitting in mud.
Go ahead and prepare for power outages, just in case. That’s never a bad idea. Please keep this in mind if you know someone who relies on electricity for their life, such as those on oxygen. Take measures tomorrow to handle that and don’t wait until the lights go out.
The latest outlook for tomorrow comes out around midnight and I sure am anxious to see what it says. The next one after that comes out around 7:00 a.m. in the morning. That one will really tell the tale about what the experts at the Storm Prediction Center are thinking.
While the focus seems to be on straight-line wind damage or an isolated tornado, we can’t forget the flash flood risk with more storms.
I’m here watching it all, of course, and I’ll let you know if there’s anything new you need to know about!
Sunday will be sunnier but very windy. I hope the trees don’t have trouble staying upright in those 20-30 mph north winds.
You all have a great evening!