A changing forecast, with strong storms now possible for Sunday

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Main threats

SUNDAY: Strong/severe storms, mainly before noon. I am monitoring this and will post updates throughout the weekend.

Summary

We have a really good chance for showers, and even a rumble of thunder, today as a front moves through. This is the front associated with that big, historic blizzard out on the plains. We’re getting off lucky with this one, with mostly just rain showers and breezy conditions.

Tomorrow, a surge of moisture from the Gulf will keep us cloudy and with scattered showers all day. Nothing looks too heavy, but I wouldn’t be surprised if a rumble of thunder is thrown in at some point. Just keep the rain gear handy if you must be out. It won’t rain all day but there will certainly be showers all around.

By Sunday, a much stronger system will approach and models are now suggesting that we may not dodge the severe weather, after all. I’m keeping an eye on this. The best chance for severe weather will come in the morning hours. This is good because that is when the atmosphere tends to be the most stable. That could really help us out. Never the less, the Storm Prediction Center has placed us in the enhanced risk for severe weather for Sunday.

It’s unusual for us to have a greater risk than Nashville. Stay tuned for my updates over the weekend. I’ll update the blog as needed.

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After that, things look good for Monday and Tuesday, before our next big weather maker (more strong storms?) moves in for mid-week. We’ll worry about that later.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

A cubic mile of ordinary fog contains less than a gallon of water.

Records

On this day in 1927 a tornado wiped the town of Rock Springs, Texas off the wipe. Everything was gone, even the debris. The mile-wide twister took the lives of 72 people and completely destroyed 235 of the 247 buildings in town. Of those buildings, many had no trace of their existence left behind. No lumber. No insulation. Nothing. To make matters even worse, giant hail fell after the tornado passed. That’s unusual, as hail often precedes tornadoes. Something tells me this was no ordinary storm…..

On this day in 1934 the fastest winds on earth were recorded on New Hampshire’s Mount Washington. The wind averaged 186 mph for five minutes, with a peak gust of 231 mph. This is not only the fastest wind recorded in the U.S., but it’s also the fastest wind ever recorded in the world. The winds were not associated with a t-storm. They were the result of unusually low jet stream winds.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s record high: 81 (1977)

Yesterday’s record low: 23 (1973)

Today’s record high: 81 (1977)

Today’s record low: 26 (1989)

Today’s sunset: 7:11

Tomorrow sunrise: 6:08

Today’s day length: 13 hrs 01 mins 28 secs

Tomorrow’s day length: 13 hrs 03 mins 40 secs

One year ago today

It was a nice spring day! The high was 75 degrees and the low was 48. The winds were light and from the south. No rainfall was recorded.

Astronomy 

Sky viewing conditions tonight: POOR

Moon phase: First quarter, 47% illumination

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What to look for in the night sky tonight

Clouds will likely obscure any decent view.

News

A significant outbreak of tornadoes is expected tomorrow over portions of eastern Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi. Areas south of I-40 in West TN need to pay attention to this, as well, just in case the greater threat shifts north at all. If you know anyone who lives in those areas please advise them to be weather aware tomorrow. This is part of the system that will bring the threat of strong storm to the plateau on Sunday, though our threat is MUCH lower than theirs.

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You all have a great day!

 

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