No significant threats in sight.
Happy May Day! There’ll be no distress calls made about the weather around here today. We’re looking at yet another nice spring day on the plateau.
By tonight, clouds will thicken and some showers will move in. They will be a welcome sight, as things dry out fast this time of year. Plus, a shower every once in a while helps keep that pollen washed out of the air.
Showers and t-storms will remain in our forecast through Saturday, with Saturday looking like the best chance of coverage from that precip. It won’t rain everywhere all the time, but you’ll need to keep an eye on that radar if you’re doing anything outside.
By Sunday, rain and storm chances drop off to the isolated variety. That leads us into a nice start to the new work week.
The good thing about this system is that it will only bring rain and some thunder. Conditions for widespread severe storms just don’t look to be in the cards. Never the less, always be mindful of that lightning!
Even though we rate hurricanes based on wind speed, only 5-10% of a hurricane’s victims are the result of wind. Flooding is what kills people in hurricanes, especially from storm surge near the coast.
Storm surge isn’t the only form of flooding that kills in these storms. In 1969, Hurricane Camille killed more people in West Virginia from flooding than she did along the Mississippi Gulf Coast, where she made landfall as a catastrophic and historic cat 5.
A push to rate tropical systems based on the flood threat has been in the works for many years (and rightfully so!). Hopefully, we’ll see such a rating system put in place soon.
Nashville had one of its latest frosts on record on this day in 1963. The city dipped to 34 degrees. This record low for the month of May would be tied the very next morning.
On this day in 1935 a terrible winter storm struck Minnesota. Up to three inches of snow and sleet paralyzed the state. They hadn’t seen a winter storm this severe in May since the May of 1892, 43 years earlier.
Yesterday’s record high: 86 (1962)
Yesterday’s record low: 34 (2018)
Today’s record high: 85 (2007)
Today’s record low: 28 (1963)
Today’s sunset: 7:27
Tomorrow sunrise: 5:45
Today’s day length: 13 hrs 40 mins 49 secs
Tomorrow’s day length: 13 hrs 42 mins 44 secs
One year ago today
May was off to a very nice start! The high reached 78 degrees, after a very mild morning low of 47. NO rain fell and winds were light from the south throughout the day.
Sky viewing conditions tonight: POOR
Moon rise: 4:52 a.m. Thursday morning
Moon phase: Waning Crescent, 12% illumination
What to look for in the night sky tonight
Clouds should hinder any good sky viewing.
This time yesterday, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) was forecasting severe weather for the southern plains and portions of the Midwest. Tornadoes were a threat but not the greatest threat. However, the atmosphere across eastern Oklahoma and southwest Missouri destabilized much more rapidly than expected and storms became much stronger than expected. By day’s end, 29 tornadoes had been reported and some of them may have been quite significant. The forecast changed rapidly from yesterday morning to lunchtime, further proof that one just can’t let their guard down this time of year, especially when severe weather is in the forecast.
The map below shows storm reports from yesterday. The tornado threat was supposed to be highest in southeast Oklahoma, but the boundary shifted farther north faster than expected, putting the greatest threat in northeast Oklahoma and southwest Missouri. The Storm Prediction Center is also taking criticism this morning for not issuing a tornado watch soon enough. By the time the watch came out, three warnings were in effect. Then, they had to scramble to issue a moderate risk, as severe storms were already erupting across the area. Needless to say, yesterday was not a good day at the SPC.
You all have a great day!