An unsettled pattern evolving

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Main threats

Widespread hazardous weather is not expected over the next seven days.

Summary

The threat for strong/severe storms for Thursday evening/overnight has diminished even more with the latest data. In fact, the big severe weather outbreak expected out west, across Oklahoma for Wednesday, also looks diminished. They’ll get some big storms, that’s for sure, but it looks less scary today than it did yesterday. Today actually may be more active for those folks than tomorrow will be.

Our forecast just looks very spring-like, with really nice weather today and tomorrow. We’ll introduce the chance for an isolated shower or storm for our Wednesday afternoon/evening, but that is very slight and I may even have to take that out of the forecast.

The real chance of rain arrives late on Thursday. That is when a cold front will swing through and bring widespread showers and storms. Some storms could be strong but I’m not sure there’s anything to worry about. The dynamics just aren’t there with this system.

We could pick up an inch or two of rain, which will be a good drink of water for growing vegetation. Plus, it will help clean some of this pollen out of the air.

Those showers will likely linger into Friday.

Models are in much better agreement about the weekend forecast but it doesn’t bode well for outdoor plans. It looks like a very soggy Mother’s Day weekend, with scattered showers each day. A storm or two is possible on Sunday.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

It is a popular myth that tornadoes can’t touch down in mountainous areas. Back in the November 2001 tornado outbreak here on the plateau, we even saw a tornado touch down and intensify while going down a mountain toward the community of Mossy Grove in Morgan County.

In Colorado a tornado was even videoed climbing a mountain on it’s sunny, warmer side. A light layer of snow covered the shady side of the mountain, and as the tornado quickly and briefly moved over that ground, it sucked up some snow!

Records

Middle Tennessee had its fourth largest tornado outbreak on this day in 1984. Eighteen tornadoes touched down, with Springfield being hardest hit by an F-2. Springfield is in Robertson County, just north of Nashville near the Kentucky border. There were no injuries or fatalities with this outbreak.

In 1832, a tornado struck downtown Murfreesboro . The newspapers described it as a hurricane (that was common back in those days). The roof of the new courthouse was blown off while a construction worker was working on the upper floor. He sprang from a window as the storm hit and was badly hurt.

Today is the anniversary of the Natchez, Mississippi tornado of 1840. The violent twister roared through Natchez, absolutely demolishing their port on the Mississippi River. There was nowhere to take cover and 317 people were killed. Natchez sits on a bluff and the tornado crossed the river and tore right up the bluff as if it weren’t there. Natchez was left in ruins. This was the deadliest tornado in early American history. This tornado destroyed the myth that the city was protected by both the river and the bluff from bad storms.

Almanac

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Yesterday’s record high: 85 (2012, 1959)

Yesterday’s record low: 31 (1957)

Today’s record high: 85 (1955)

Today’s record low: 33 (1958)

Today’s sunset: 7:32

Tomorrow sunrise: 5:39

Today’s day length: 13 hrs 51 mins 58 secs

Tomorrow’s day length: 13 hrs 53 mins 44 secs

One year ago today

The high was 76 degrees, after a morning low of 49. No rain fell. Sounds similar to what we’ll have today!

Astronomy 

Sky viewing conditions tonight: GOOD

Moon rise: 7:49 a.m.

Moon set: 10:29 p.m.

Moon phase: Waxing Crescent, 7% illumination

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What to look for in the night sky tonight

A crescent moon will slide 3 degrees south of Mars this evening. Be sure and look for that this evening! The moos sets at 10:29 p.m. so be sure and catch that before then!

News

Well, once again I had to prove that thunder in February don’t mean squat for frost in May. We were supposed to have had frost yesterday morning. I’ll keep testing myths till I find one that works (ha).

Wish me luck today as I meet my mentee for Kids on the Rise. I am very anxious to meet him and to hopefully be a positive influence. Think about me at 10:00! For those of you who don’t know, Kids on the Rise is very similar to Big Brother Big Sisters, except it’s our local chapter. They’re always looking for volunteers. They only ask for at least one hour a week. So, it’s a little time investment with a HUGE return. These kids just need some positive influence in their lives. “Kids On The Rise provides meaningful experiences that help build a one-on-one relationship between a caring adult and a child or youth who may be experiencing an opportunity gap or difficult day-to-day life challenge.” My mentee is in first grade.

I also want to thank the Crossville chapter of Woodmen Life, who donated money last night to the Mayland Senior Center. The money will go toward roofing repairs. As many of you know, the Center was swindled out of $3,800 for roof repairs by a man out of Monterey (we can’t disclose much because of the pending case). Again, THANK YOU!

I’ll have a special blog update later today about my trip to Maryland this past weekend, for those who may be interested.

Again, think about me at 10:00 today!

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