A wet weekend ahead and a historical day in cinematic history remembered!


Main threats

No widespread hazardous weather in sight.


Today is the 23rd anniversary of the release of Twister! More on that in the News section below.

Yesterday’s system really struggled to get over the plateau. Rainfall intensity dropped off quite remarkably once that heavy rainfall reached us. Most locations across the plateau just picked up a few tenths of an inch of rain. I didn’t even see much lightning activity across most of the plateau. The heaviest stuff stayed just south of Cumberland County.

Looking at the latest data, it looks like today will just be mostly cloudy. If we see some showers, they will most likely come later this evening. Even then, they should be on the light side.

Tonight, more steadier rains are expected to move in. Those will be with us through our Saturday. Those showers increase in coverage and intensity for Saturday night, with rumbles of thunder likely as well.

Mother’s Day continues to look wet, especially the first half of the day. By the afternoon, the latest data suggest that we should be looking at lighter, more scattered showers. I’ll fine tine that forecast as more data becomes available. Again, as I’ve said over the past few days, I don’t recommend outdoor plans this weekend.

We may see a shower or two on Monday, especially in the morning, but I held off on putting that on the 7-day outlook. I may have to introduce that slim chance in later outlooks, though.

It still looks like we could pick up 1-2 inches of rain TOTAL between now and Sunday evening.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

In general, weather forecasts are correct 90% of the time for a 5-day outlook. That accuracy drops to 80% for 7-day outlooks. Ten day outlooks (and longer) have only a 50% accuracy.


Today is the anniversary of the deadliest tornado to ever hit the state of Tennessee, and it hit right here on the Cumberland Plateau. The May 10, 1933, F-4 tornado hit Overton County and wiped out the small, rural community of Beatty Swamps just after midnight. Thirty-five people lost their lives.

Overall, the year 1933 was a bad year for Tennessee and severe weather, with several tornado outbreaks and numerous deaths/injuries. Contrast that with 2019, where we’ve seen only two tornadoes in all of Tennessee this storm season.



Yesterday’s record high: 85 (1986)

Yesterday’s record low: 31 (1960)

Today’s record high: 85 (1979)

Today’s record low: 28 (1966)

Today’s sunset: 7:35

Tomorrow sunrise: 5:37

Today’s day length: 13 hrs 57 mins 13 secs

Tomorrow’s day length: 13 hrs 58 mins 55 secs

One year ago today

It was a very warm day, with some light showers that accumulated 0.09 inches of rain in the rain bucket. The high reached 80 degrees, after a mild morning low of 64. Winds were from the southwest.


Sky viewing conditions tonight: POOR

Moon rise: 10:39 a.m.

Moon set: 12:25 a.m.

Moon phase: Waxing Crescent, 33% illumination


What to look for in the night sky tonight

Clouds will create poor viewing conditions.


The big news yesterday was that Duluth, Minnesota picked up 10 inches of snow on Wednesday night. This was the biggest May snow ever recorded for them. The previous record was 5.5″ on May 10, 1902. The record May snow for the whole state of Minnesota is 15.4 inches. That snow fell on Dodge Center on May 2, 2013.

Some of you noted that I misspoke in yesterday’s blog. I said this coming cool weather was Dogwood winter. We’ve already had that one and this one would be Blackberry winter. Good catch, y’all!

Today is the 23rd anniversary of the release of the movie Twister! Yes, it’s been 23 years since the release of that cinematic masterpiece. It’s quiet possibly the best movie release of all time. Indeed, let’s just be real here, folks. It IS the greatest movie of all time.

Finally, I would like to ask you all to say a prayer/send good vibes toward my Grandma Baldwin’s way today. She’s having a second surgery today to try and mend the leg she fell and broke back in January. The first operation was a failure and we are hoping this one will be more successful. She’s 85 years old, so any surgery can be complicated at this age. Also, keep my Grandpa Baldwin close to your hearts. This is all very hard on him and he’s now 88 years old.

You all have a great day.

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