The Storm Prediction Center has just issued a discussion, circled in red, for portions of southern Illinois, southeastern Missouri, and western Kentucky. They are planning to issue a severe t-storm watch for that area within the next 1-2 hours. Those storms will then move southeast. You can see the beginnings of this line at the northern top of the red-circled area.
We’ll watch this line as it evolves and moves toward Tennessee. The storms will arrive here very late tonight. That is good news. We will have lost a lot of the daytime heating of the day and the atmosphere will be more stabilized.
Short-term models show that activity arriving after 3:00 a.m. and hanging around with us through mid-morning. After that, we should see more of the typical, isolated afternoon storms that we’re accustomed to this time of year.
So, while we are expecting some storms late tonight, we are not expecting widespread severe weather. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the line break up and only give some of us rain. I also wouldn’t be surprised if one or two storms are on the strong side.
I’ll keep an eye on it for ya!