–Quiet weather continues for the plateau for the next several days
–Turning unseasonably hot for the beginning of next week
–The tropics remain very active
No threats in sight, although heat may be an issue next week.
Our quiet weather continues. It might be worth mentioning that one model has a storm developing on the northern plateau this afternoon, but it’s hardly worth mentioning. As I say over and over again, whenever we get hot there’s always that remote possibility for a storm.
Other than that, the only news I can see in the extended outlook is that it may be turning very hot next week. I wouldn’t be surprised to see us hit 90 degrees a time or two. The extended outlook from the Climate Prediction looks hot for us, too. This heat wave could last through the middle of September. So, put away that hot cider and hot cocoa, y’all. (haha)
Even Alaska is going to be unseasonably warm.
Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast
The month of September was a dry one for the nation in 1939. Well, everyone except Washington D.C. On this day that year they received 4.4 inches of rain in two hours from a thunderstorm. They received more rain in that two hour timeframe that most of the nation picked up the entire month!
Whew! Things are getting crazy in the tropics. We still have Dorian, of course, spinning of the Southeast Coast this morning as a cat 2 hurricane (105 mph). He is absolutely lashing the coasts with waves and heavy rain and wind. A landfall in the Carolinas is still not out of the question.
Meanwhile, we have Tropical Storm Fernand, Tropical Storm Gabrielle (just named), and two other disturbances that could become named storms by this weekend. Fernand is no worry to the US, as he moves into Mexico tonight. The orange ‘X’ closest to the US is moving out to sea. Gabrielle is expected to stay out at sea, curving north. And the orange “X” you see coming off the Africa coast is, well, that’s the one to watch. Thankfully, we’ll have lots of time to watch it.
Hurricanes can produce phenomenal amounts of rainfall. The wettest hurricane to ever make landfall in the US was Hurricane Harvey in 2017. That storm dropped more than 5 feet of rain (60.58 inches) on Nederland, Texas.
Other notable storms include, 1978’s Amelia (48″ on Medina, Texas), 1950’s Easy (45.2″ on Yankeetown, Florida), and 1979’s Claudette (45 ” on Alvin, Texas).
Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD
An atmospheric circulation that rotates counter-clockwise in the Northern Hemisphere. The circulation must be closed, meaning that it is completely encircled by isobars (lines of equal pressure).
Yesterday, the Parker Solar Probe spacecraft reported all systems are A-okay, as it made it’s third close approach to the surface of the sun! Traveling at a whopping 213,200 mph, all is well with Parker. The mission ends the last day of this month and hopefully we’ll have more solar data than we know what to do with. Studying our closest star is more important than ever, as we work to understand climate change and the different reasons it can change.
There are two areas of severe weather to watch today. One is due to Dorian, of course. That threat extends up the Carolina coast today. The other area is across New England. All modes of severe weather are possible for each area. The only exception is the zero threat for hail with Dorian’s storms.
You all have a great day!