Happy Fall, Y’all!

today

Weather Headlines

–A chance for some showers and a storm today

–Yet another chance for showers/storms on Thursday

–Many of us will stay dry, with little to no appreciable moisture for the next 7 days

–Watching the tropics

Main threats

No significant threats in sight.

Summary

We’ll see a frontal boundary drift into the area today, bringing a chance for some showers and perhaps a storm. Many of us will stay dry.

Yet another weak boundary drifts into the area on Thursday, giving us another shot at a shower or storm. Again, many of us won’t see a drop.

I put a chance for a storm on Friday because the models are suggesting that just enough moisture will pool on the plateau for the afternoon heat to set off a storm or two.

The NWS Nashville posted an interesting graphic on social media this morning. See the “News” section below for more info on that.

Almanac

almanac

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

7day

Records

One of the most powerful hurricanes to ever strike New England hit on this day in 1815. The hurricane made landfall on Long Island and crossed Massachusetts and New Hampshire. It was reported that it was the worst storm in 200 years.

Tropics

We have Tropical Storms Jerry and Karen right now. Jerry has winds of 65 mph and Karen has winds of 40 mph. Jerry is headed out to sea but Karen will have to be watched. Hurricane Hunters are investigating Karen this morning. Hopefully, the data they gather will give us a better idea about what Karen plans to do.

120155_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

We have another developing tropical storm just east of Africa. It, too, will need to be watched, but there are early indications that it will curve out to sea. Let’s hope so, as it could become an impressive hurricane.

hurr

One thing that is very interesting on satellite this morning is the exposed center of Tropical Storm Jerry. It’s pretty cool to see this happen on satellite, when it happens. Wind shear removes the strongest storms from the center, allowing us to see the center swirl around. How cool is that?

ezgif.com-video-to-gif (46)

Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Wind Shear

Wind shear is the change in wind speed or direction with height in the atmosphere. It can also refer to the change in winds over short horizontal distances, such as those experienced by aircraft.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

The launch of weather balloons gives us data that reveals the changing winds with height in the atmosphere. Such data is very valuable in making a good forecast!

NASA Knowledge

The Prime Minister of Australia, Scott Morrison, has announced that his nation will join us in the Moon to Mars program! The announcement came Saturday as Morrison visits the US. Morrison plans to triple, yes triple, the Australian Space Agency budget to support the Artemis project that will take us back to the moon and then on to Mars.

Australia has helped support the US’s space ambitions since the Apollo project.

News

The Nashville NWS released this graphic this morning. If you thought this had been an unusually warm fall, you’re right! The NWS says that there have been 89 days of 90 degrees or warmer heat this summer at the Nashville International Airport. The record is 96 days set back in 1954. Based on the climate outlook, this record is in trouble. The forecast calls for more hot weather next weekend and the outlook for October looks hot as well.

70557122_2455176294558640_656389269048262656_n

You all have a great day!

today

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