We’re officially in a drought

today

Weather Headlines

–Most of TN is now officially in drought conditions (see “News” section)

–Today’s shower chances will be followed by a very summer-like pattern

–Record heat possible this weekend

–Watching the tropics

Main threats

No significant threats in sight.

Summary

After our chance of showers today, we’ll enter a very summer-like pattern. With all the heat and humidity around, I had to add at least a 20% chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm for each day, much like what we would see in the summer. A great many of us will stay quite dry over the next week, but a few of you will get lucky enough to see one of these pop-up storms.

Almanac

almanac

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

7dat

Records

Denver, Colorado was buried under 21.3 inches of snow on this day in 1936. A little over 19 inches of that fell in only 24 hours. The heavy, wet snow downed powerlines and snapped trees, causing seven million dollars in damages.

Tropics

Hurricane Lorenzo, located in the far eastern Atlantic, reached major hurricane status this morning. He is now a cat 3, with winds of 125 mph. He is expected to continue strengthening, and will likely reach cat 4 status today. Thankfully, Lorenzo is located far away from any landmass and is expected to stay far from any land for the duration of his hurricane life.

He sure looks nice on satellite!

sat_fdgoese_color

We still have Tropical Storm Karen but she is really struggling. Some models show her dissipating, while other show her clinging to life. She is expected to make a pull toward the west, but there are a lot of questions for what that means to the US. She’s just one to watch over the coming days, but right now there are no big concerns for her.

083313_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Blizzard

Blowing or falling snow in wind gusts that are at least 35 mph. Visibility is often reduced to less than one quarter of a mile for three hours or longer.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

Snow does not have to be falling for a blizzard to occur. In fact, it could be a sunny day! The only thing that makes a blizzard is snow that is blowing in the wind. Sometimes, the snow has already fallen before winds in increase. Those winds pick up that snow and carry it, making for poor visibility. This is often reported as a “ground blizzard.”

The image below is a good example! Notice the patches of blue sky, while snow blows like crazy along the ground. A blizzard, with no falling snow.

Ground_blizzard

NASA Knowledge

A photo was shared on social media by Astronaut Christina Hammock Koch. The photo is of a manned rocket launch, Soyuz 61, as seen from the International Space Station (ISS). The rocket launched yesterday at 8:57 a.m. from Kazakhstan. The rocket actually carried Koch’s best friend and docked with the ISS at 2:45 p.m. After two hours, the door of the ISS swung open and the number of crew on-board increased to nine.

I saved the photo. I just think it’s about the coolest picture I have ever seen. I told that on Facebook and a follower suggested I take advantage of Walgreen’s one day free 8×10 sale. So, I used that coupon code and am now the proud owner of the pic in 8×10. This baby is going on the wall! What a pic….. geez..

70722183_2453153184968684_5937863149385416704_o

News

The NWS is upgrading portions of the winter storm watch for western Montana to a winter storm warning. They had this to say, “Heavy snow expected. Blizzard conditions possible. Total snow accumulations of mostly 15 to 36 inches on the plains, but
even higher amounts expected in the mountains. North to northeast winds of 15 to 30 mph could gust as high as 40 mph, causing dangerous wind chill temperatures of zero to 10 degrees above zero.”

This will be the first major storm for the US for this season and it is expected to be very significant (even for Montana!). The storm is expected to move in tomorrow night and affect those folks all through the weekend. So, if you get too hot around here, just catch a plane to western Montana. ha

WARN_REG_MTID-WINTER

In addition to the upcoming winter storm, the NWS issued this graphic for that area. Their weather is getting rough up there!

WeatherStory1

We should be thankful that we live in Tennessee, even if we now officially have drought conditions to deal with. The drought monitor updates every Thursday, and this morning they show a good bit of Tennessee in a drought (tan coloring). Only the northern end of the plateau is excluded in our area, though they are listed as “abnormally dry.” With no appreciable, widespread rain in sight, these drought conditions will likely worsen as we go through the coming weeks. Remember, a burn ban is in effect.

20190924_TN_trd

You all have a great day!

today

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