A picture perfect day

today

Weather Headlines

–Drought conditions expected to worsen this week

–Rain chances this week are light and low (Wednesday morning/Sunday)

–More frost/freeze conditions likely Wed and Thurs nights

Main threats

Frost and freeze conditions are likely Wednesday and Thursday nights. Make sure you protect any sensitive plants that you want to keep.

Drought conditions are worsening this week. Be safe with any fire and be responsible with water use.

Summary

Pleasant fall weather continues. Unfortunately, this does not bode well with our worsening drought conditions. Hopefully, we can get some appreciable rain next week (fingers crossed).

The best chance for rain this week will come Wednesday morning. Amounts look very light and many of us will stay well under a quarter of an inch.

Frost and freeze conditions should develop Wednesday and Thursday nights. This cold snap could be a few degrees colder than this past one.

Next week, a very strong storm system may move into our area. This one could usher in yet even colder air. There are also indications that we may be dealing with severe weather from that system. That’s way too far off to worry about for now, but it’s something I’ll be keeping an eye on. Fall of the year brings the second peak of severe weather for the South, with the first, and most significant, being in the spring.

Almanac

almanac

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

7day

Records

A tornado outbreak struck Middle TN on this day in 1902. Folks down in Coffee County were hardest hit, when an F2 destroyed numerous barns and injured six people.

It was a bad morning in Milwaukee, Wisconsin on this day in 1984. Dense morning fog led to a 118-vehicle pileup on I-94. Visibility was zero at the time of the accidents. This was the seventh straight day of dangerously dense morning fog. They would have one more morning of it before the pattern broke.

Tropics

The tropics are trying to become active again, but there are no threats to the US. The disturbance moving into the extreme southwestern Gulf of Mexico will be steered into Mexico. The disturbance approaching the Caribbean will encounter a very hostile environment by Wednesday, likely leading to its demise. And the red-shaded area closest to Africa will swing north.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Melissa continues to head out to sea.

two_atl_5d0

Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Ceiling

The height of the lowest level of broken or overcast cloud layer.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

The sky is broken into eight “octals” of eight equal segments for cloud cover and ceiling reporting. In the example below, cloud coverage is broken and the cloud ceiling is at 4,000 feet. Had all octals been covered with clouds, the sky cover would be overcast.

broken-coverage

News

Weather 101 is back! The NWS Nashville office will once again be conducting Weather 101 classes for those of you who just can’t get enough meteorological education. Classes are free and taught by meteorologists.

To register, to go to https://www.weather.gov/ohx/weather101

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