Showers here and perhaps a system to watch in the Gulf

today

Weather Headlines

–Chance of showers tonight and Wednesday morning

–More frost/freeze conditions for Thursday and Friday mornings

–Next big frontal system moves in early next week

–Strong storms possible Monday-Tuesday (monitoring)

Main threats

-Frost and freeze conditions will be possible both Thursday and Friday mornings.

-Strong storms may develop with a strong cold front on Monday (monitoring)

Summary

Clouds will be on the increase today, with scattered showers developing tonight. Some of you on the southern end of the plateau may squeeze out a shower before dark. This system will be followed by another cold shot of air that will bring us more frost.

The next big storm system to arrive will come at the second half of the weekend and into early next week. There are indications that this system could bring us some strong storms. There’s so much disagreement with the models, though, on where the surface low will be with respect to the plateau. That will determine the magnitude of the severity of the storms for us. I’ll keep an eye on it.

If nothing else, let’s hope that system brings us some appreciable rainfall!

Almanac

almanac

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

7day

Records

A violent and historic blizzard struck the northern plains on this day in 1880. Wind gusts to 70 mph created snowdrifts that were 10-15 feet deep in northwest Iowa and southeast South Dakota. Railroads were blocked by drifts of snow.  That winter would go down in history as one of the most severe on record for the northern plains.

Now, they’ve had a blizzard that some compare to this one in 1880. Makes one wonder what the winter of 2019-2020 has in store for those folks.

Tropics

The tropics have gotten a bit more interesting. It now looks like we may have a tropical system to contend with in the Gulf this week. It had looked like this system would move into Mexico but now it looks as if it might pull northward. I’ll keep an eye on it!

two_atl_5d0-1-3.png

Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Knot

In meteorology, one knot is equal to 1.15 statute miles. In other words, 1 knot equals 1.15 mph.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

As a general rule, wind measured over land is in miles per hour. Wind measured over water is in knots. That’s largely because knots were invented over a water surface. Since meteorology often uses wind measurements over land and water, things were simplified to just using knots for wind speed in meteorology (though sometimes we convert to mph for the public).

NASA Knowledge

If you’ve ever wondered how we’re going to the moon this next time, wonder no more! The image below details that path. AS you can see, it’s a complicated journey and everything must work!

artemis-1-update

News

Strong storms and heavy rainfall will move across the Deep South today with a southern system. This system could bring several inches of rain to southern Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia, as well as the Florida Panhandle. This morning’s radar shows what they can all expect for the rest of the day.

weatherTAP_RadarLab_Image_20191015_1322

It’s looking more likely that East TN is really being singled out in this drought. Last week, several inches of rain fell across western Middle TN and West TN. Now, all this rain is hitting the Deep South. Meanwhile, we just keep getting drier here on the plateau and East TN.

You all have a great day!

7day

 

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