Watching Nestor

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Weather Headlines

–Tropical Storm Nestor makes landfall along the Florida Panhandle

–Chance for a shower today, mainly south of I-40

–Rain and storm chances return in earnest for Monday (some strong storms)

–Drought conditions continue to worsen

Main threats

Strong, possibly severe, storms are possible on Monday, with gusty winds and small hail being the main threats. Widespread severe weather is not expected. A marginal risk for severe weather has been outlined for the plateau for Monday.

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Drought conditions continue to worsen, so be conservative with water and very careful if burning anything outside.

Summary

We’re watching Nestor move well to our south today. This will keep most of the rain to our south. I still can’t rule out a shower, but the best chance for that should stay south of I-40. Overall, we should have a nice, fall weekend on tap!

The next best chance of rain arrives on Monday with a strong cold front. That front will also bring a chance for some strong storms. I’ll keep an eye on it.

After that front passes, we’ll see a return to pleasant fall weather.

Another strong arrives by the end of the week, bringing more rain and storm chances.

Almanac

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Records

Strong southwesterly winds drove flood waters from Lake Eerie into downtown Buffalo on this day in 1884. This is referred to as the “Lower Great Lakes Storm.” Winds of up to hurricane-force speeds proved disastrous for the city. Two hundred people drowned!

The map below shows Buffalo, situated on the northeast tip of Lake Eerie.

map2_buffalo

Tropics

All eyes are on Tropical Storm Nestor today. The storm is packing 50 mph winds, as it begins to move onshore today. As of this morning, the storm is still sitting just offshore. Tornado watches are in effect for central Florida. Because of the structure with this storm, there could be more tornadoes for Florida than what we might typically expect with a tropical storm. That’s something for them to watch out for today, for sure! The bulk of the rain will stay to our south and east today and tonight.

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Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Gleen

A sudden burst of warm sunshine.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

The term gleen dates back to the 17th century (if not earlier) and is probably Scandinavian. It likely comes from the word glene, which is Scandinavian for a patch of clear sky.

NASA Knowledge

Yesterday’s first all female spacewalk was a total success! A true un”man”ned mission, right? haha

NASA, “A routine maintenance mission aboard the International Space Station made history Friday when NASA astronauts Christina Koch and Jessica Meir completed the first all-female spacewalk.”

Congratulations to Koch and Meir! May we see many more such accomplishments in the future.

News

I sent out a post yesterday evening saying that the sunset had the potential to be a really good one, based on the clouds that were moving in with Nestor. Boy, was that the case! I snapped all kinds of pics of it and posted them on FB. The two below seem to be the most popular.

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You all have a great Saturday!

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