Watching a squall line

today

Weather Headlines

–Showers and storms expected this evening

–Another frontal system at the end of the week will bring more showers

–Drought conditions will likely worsen this week

Main threats

Some of the storms this evening could contain gusty winds. Widespread severe weather is not expected.

Summary

We have a strong cold front moving our way this morning. The main line of activity should arrive between 5-9:00 p.m. this evening. I’ll update that timing, if necessary. Pictured below is the current weatherTAP RadarLab.

weatherTAP_RadarLab_Image_20191021_1402

The squall line should be weakening by the time it reaches the plateau, leaving us with only heavy showers and gusty winds. I’ll monitor that throughout the day but that’s where things stand at this point.

Once this front clears out overnight, we should be left with a nice Tuesday and Wednesday. The next system arrives as soon as late Thursday night, bringing some more showers. Again, precip amounts will likely be on the light side, further aggravating our drought situation.

Almanac

almanac

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

7day

Records

An interesting hurricane occurred on this date in 1988. Hurricane Joan was the last hurricane of that season and made landfall in Nicaragua, packing winds of 125 mph. The storm took the lives of 200 people and did 1.5 billion dollars in damages.

The most interesting thing about Joan is that she never strayed more than one degree from the 12 degree north parallel, even after crossing 40 degrees of longitude! That is incredible precision.

I’m certain there are a million “women driver” jokes here but I’ll not go there. (lol)

As my Great Aunt Henrietta Baldwin would say, “She sure could keep it ‘tween the ditches.”

On the map below, notice how straight Joan’s path is across the Caribbean. That’s just incredible.

Joan-Miriam_1988_track

Tropics

The tropics are quiet.

Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Front

A boundary separating two masses of air of different densities. The most common separation is between cold, dense air and warm, less dense air.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

The discovery of fronts was announced in 1919 by Jacob Bjerknes, the son of a noted Norweigan meteorologist Vilhelm Bjerknes. Prior to this announcement, it was thought that if today happened to be colder than yesterday, it was simply because more of the heat in yesterday’s air had been lost to space. If today was warmer, it was because yesterday’s air had some additional heat added to it.

NASA Knowledge

I JUST found out I got accepted to another NASA Social!!! This time I’m headed to Wallops Island, Virginia for the November 2nd CRS-12 cargo launch to resupply the International Space Station. I’ve never been to the Wallops facility, so this should be crazy cool!!! What a way to start a Monday!

I’ll have MANY more details on this later! (And as I find out more!)

News

Severe weather can be found today from West Tennessee to the Gulf Coast. The greatest risk from tornadoes is along the Gulf Coast.

You all have a great day! 

The sunrise this morning was great!

IMG_20191021_071159

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