Rain on the way, a possible hurricane, and my work anniversary!


Weather Headlines

–Clouds increase today, ahead of our next storm system

–Rain develops overnight, becoming heavy at times Friday. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches will be common across the plateau with this system.

–A strong storm system will move in on Wednesday, bringing rain showers and very breezy conditions.

Main threats

No widespread hazardous weather is expected.


Clouds will continue to thicken as we go through the day, with showers developing overnight. That rain will increase in coverage and intensity as we go through the day Friday. Some of the rainfall could be heavy at times, especially Friday night, so be aware of ponding of water on roadways if you must be out and about.

That system gradually moves out of here on Saturday. Most of the rain should end by afternoon, but we can’t rule out sprinkles/light showers through Sunday morning.

Sunday looks drier but those pesky clouds may be awfully stubborn to leave us. Let’s hope for at least some afternoon peaks of sun.

Monday looks nice but our next storm system will be knocking at the door. The timing of that system has sped up and it now looks like it will push through here Tuesday night. Very gusty winds are likely. A broad band of shower activity will push through during the night. Thankfully, the system isn’t looking as dynamic as it did yesterday. That just means our chances for severe storms have dropped significantly.

Wednesday is looking decent, at this point. We will enter a period of unsettled weather after that Tuesday night system. At this point, and much can change between now and then, the Thanksgiving holiday is looking cloudy, with chances of rain showers, through Black Friday. I’ll keep an eye on all that!



Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast



On this day in 1985 Hurricane Kate made landfall at Mexico Beach, Florida. The winds gusted to 100 mph. This was the latest known hurricane to make landfall so far north in the US.


Tropical Storm Sebastien has strengthened into a very healthy tropical storm this morning. Max sustained winds are at 60 mph. All guidance now suggest that Sebastien will become a hurricane over the next couple of days (maybe even today!). In fact, models are suggesting the storm could rapidly intensify, though that seems unlikely after evaluating the environment the storm will be encountering.

The storm continues to pose no threat to the US, though it could give some of the Azores a rough storm by Saturday night. That’s those islands you see at the end of the track line.

weatherTAP_RadarLab_Image_20191121_1404 (1)

Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Northern Lights

The result of collisions between gaseous particles in the Earth’s atmosphere with charged particles released from the sun’s atmosphere. In other words, particles eject outward from the sun and intersect with our atmosphere, creating a beautiful display of colors from the energy released in that collision.

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

While the Northern Lights are always the most common and spectacular in the northern latitudes, they can be seen unusually far south from time to time. There have been solar storms that were so intense that the Northern Lights were seen all the way down to Cuba! That’s very, very rare but it can happen.

Many years ago, I remember seeing some reddish glow on the northern horizon here. It was an especially strong solar event but you could see some reds from the plateau. It was very eerie! ha I’ll let you all know if I ever hear of an event strong enough to see from here. It’s definitely a sight to see!

The lights have been seen across the northern US this week.

NASA Knowledge

NASA has announced that sugars that are essential for life have been discovered in meteorites for the first time! Little by little, the ingredients for life continue to be discovered in space. We’re just yet to find where those ingredients have come together to form life as we know it here on Earth. That’s not to say that life, at least in microscopic form, hasn’t found a way to develop on other planetary bodies. We just haven’t found it yet…..if it’s even there to be found.



Three years ago today I started by new job here at weatherTAP! I can’t believe it has already been three years. That was on a Monday and I remember it so very well. Cheers to many, many more years!



Wx Hazards Across the Nation


You all have a great day!



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