Winds of change

today

Weather Headlines

–Winds will be increasing today, becoming quite strong by evening (gusts 35+ mph)

–Rain moves in tonight, heavy at times (1-2 inches)

–Nice weather for most of Wednesday and Thanksgiving

–The next storm system arrives Saturday, with more wind and rain (thunder?)

Main threats

–Winds will become very gusty by this evening and overnight. Some gusts could exceed 35 mph.

–More windy weather is possible Saturday, with our next storm system.

Summary

We’ll see both clouds and winds increasing today with our next storm system. Those winds will be getting very gusty!

Rain moves in tonight and will be a bit heavy at times. I’m expecting one to two inches of rain across the plateau. The Storm Prediction Center has increased the risk for severe storms for West TN and western Middle TN, including the Nashville area, but those storms will weaken substantially before reaching the plateau after midnight.

That rain will move out early Wednesday morning, leaving us with a mostly dry Wednesday. Temps will fall through the day and you’ll notice it! With brisk north winds, afternoon temps will fall into the 30s. Brrrr.

Thanksgiving is looking better all the time! There should be lots of clouds around but we should see some sun peak through, as well. I also think Black Friday will be pretty good, though we will likely have more clouds around than on Thursday.

The next big storm system moves in on Saturday. We should see more wind and rain with that system. It looks less likely that we’ll have severe weather, so that’s certainly good news. Still, I’ll keep an eye on it.

Colder air rushes in on Sunday and that air will have a bite to it by Monday. There are indications we could have some snow flurries or snow showers Sunday night. I’ll keep an eye on that.

Almanac

almanac

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

7day

Records

A powerful F-3 tornado touched down in Dickson County and damaged two farms that were six miles apart. A two story home was blown apart, with logs driven into the ground 100 yards away. Dickson County borders Davidson County (Nashville) to the west.

Tropics

More than likely the season has ended. The official end of the hurricane season comes November 30.

Today’s WeatherTAP WeatherWORD

Fallstreak

A large and circular or elliptical gap that can appear in cirrocumulus or altocumulus clouds. In other words, it forms in clouds that are either at the mid or upper levels of the atmosphere.

Pictured below is a fallstreak over Houston, Minnesota. Photo by Jamie Vix.

houston-jamievix

WeatherTAP WeatherFACT

High and mid-level clouds contain supercooled water droplets. These are droplets of water that are below freezing but remain in liquid form (due, in part, to motion, much like water in a freezing cold river). These supercooled droplets are looking for any reason to freeze. When a plane flies through the cloud layers, it gives the droplets some ice crystals to grab onto and freeze to. This causes all the droplets to freeze and fall out of the cloud layer, leaving behind a fallstreak.

Anything that gives the supercooled water droplets something to freeze onto will cause a fallstreak.

NASA Knowledge

Well, I finally heard from the NASA Social for the SpaceX launch and I was denied. That’s ok, though. I think my notice got lost because they didn’t send me that until I asked them why I hadn’t been notified. At least now I know!

I’m still on the wait list for the NASA Social that will be at Stennis on the Gulf Coast of Mississippi. Fingers crossed!

I’m also yet to hear from another NASA Social that I applied for on the 17th of this month. That is a big test launch for future manned missions. I’ll keep you all posted!

News

The big news of the day is the crazy weather some folks are going to have to travel through for Thanksgiving. Anyone traveling is urged to check the forecast of their destination and all points in between.

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

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You all have a great day!

 

7day

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