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Baldwin’s Wx Blog for Sunday, Feb. 16

A calmer week ahead

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Weather Headlines

Cloudy days return

Next rain-maker arrives Tuesday

Turning cooler but drier for the end of the week

Main threats

No widespread hazardous weather in sight.


We’ll see lots of clouds for the next 48 hours. We may even see a sprinkle or a light shower, but that will be very light activity, if it happens at all.

The next chance for us to all get some rain will come Monday night and Tuesday. We should see around a half inch of rain across the plateau, maybe up to an inch for some. There will be some rumbles of thunder but the risk for severe storms this time around is very, very low. Thank goodness!

Then, we see clouds for the better parts of Wednesday and Thursday. Again, those clouds may drop some sprinkles or a light shower (or a flurry?) but it’s nothing to get excited about.

The only fly in the ointment, so to speak, is that if any of the moisture that is to our south on Wednesday or Thursday makes it this far north, it would fall in the frozen form. Right now, that looks very unlikely, but stay tuned just in case something changes with that system’s track.

By Friday, that southern system will have moved away, allowing our sunshine to return for both Friday and Saturday.


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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe Weather Watches, Warnings and Advisories

Numerous flood advisories continue for area streams across the Southeast. A chance for t-storms exists across the northern Gulf Coast.



Winter Weather Watches, Warnings, and Advisories

A winter storm continues to threaten the western US.




On this day in 1899 Washington DC had 30 inches of snow on the ground. To make matter worse, 1.25 inches of rain fell on top of that snow-pack. This is considered the soggiest day on record for the nation’s capital.

Sunday Story

Water, Water Everywhere

One thing is for certain, we have had plenty of rain this year across the plateau! We just have to be so very careful around any flood waters we encounter. The power of water should never be underestimated. 

One of our concerns is hydroplaning. Always slow down when approaching standing water. Hydroplaning occurs when your tire encounters more water than it can scatter away, separating the tire from the road’s surface. The result is loss of control of that tire.

While standing water is certainly dangerous, moving water is even deadlier. In fact, it only takes six inches of water to move most cars. That’s not a lot of water but water is such a powerful force that it doesn’t take much of it to move large things. Even fewer vehicles are any match for just a foot of flowing water. 

Finally, it seems people will never learn to not drive across flooded roads. Every year, time and time again, people take that chance and end up losing their lives. Even having kids in the car doesn’t deter some folks from taking the risk.

It’s hard to understand why some drivers make that fatal decision. More than likely it’s because they were in a hurry. Rather than turn around and take a much longer route, they just drive into the flood waters and hope they make it. Other victims probably just underestimated the power of water. 

Some folks think that the road ahead of them is covered with some water and opt to drive across it. They learn, all too late, that the whole road is gone and the water is actually feet deep and moving rapidly.

Water is essential for life but it’s certainly capable of taking life too. Please be careful and remember, we only have this one life. It’s always better to be late than never. 


1 thought on “Baldwin’s Wx Blog for Sunday, Feb. 16

  1. The storms we had last week left a mark on our neighborhood, Wildwood. We had full foliage pine trees twisted and uprooted, and Bradford Pear trees split on a line from Bean Creek, 36 00 27.33N 085 08 27.76W to 36 00 34.14N 085 07 56.54W. on 70N, vicinity of the UT research farm. a friend of mine who was an insurance adjuster noted the pattern and recommended that I report it to you as perhaps a F0 twister. Since the tree patter was not like straight line winds, it most likely was a twister. I do not know how far outside my neighborhood the pattern was.

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