Baldwin’s Blog for Tuesday, Feb. 18

Rain and a chance for some snow

Tdoay

Weather Headlines

A rainy Tuesday

A chance for light snow on Thursday

Rain returns late Sunday

Main threats

Just be careful with any ponding on roadways with today’s rain. While our rain shouldn’t be too heavy, our saturated soils offer few ideas for where the water should go.

A chance for light snow on Thursday could cause some travel issues, esp south of I-40. Stay tuned.

Summary

We’ll see a cloudy day with rain and thunder. Thankfully, this event will not have the heavy, flooding rains that we’ve seen in recent rain events. Also, the storms should stay below severe limits.

I expect from half an inch to an inch of rain across the plateau with this event. That’s a bit higher amount than what it looked like yesterday, but still a small enough amount to prevent major flooding issues.

Then, a southern system begins to take shape by Wednesday night. That system is looking more and more likely to be capable of sending some moisture our way. That would lead to some morning light snow on Thursday. Light accumulations are possible, especially south of I-40. I’m keeping a close eye on this.

Friday and Saturday look good, before our next rain-maker begins arriving later on Sunday.

Almanac

almanac

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

7day

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe Weather Watches, Warnings and Advisories

More flooding and strong storms are expected today across the Deep South. Some areas are under states of emergency for flooding.

WARN_NAT_SVR (1)

wwa_svr_legend

Winter Weather Watches, Warnings, and Advisories

Only light wintry weather is expected in different spots across the northern US.

WARN_NAT_WINTER

wwa_winter_legend

Records

The city of Nashville recorded their latest sub-zero temperature on record on this day in 1936. The city went to -1 that morning.

Twister Tuesday

Today, a tornado is rated by the damage it leaves behind. In the past, the rating has been based on wind speed. For instance, if a tornado were in an open field but passed by a weather station that recorded a certain wind speed, the tornado would be rated by that wind speed. Now, the tornado has to do damage. In other words, an F-5 could be out in open fields in Kansas and so long as it doesn’t hit anything, it will likely get a low F-scale rating. This is why we have the new EF scale. It is not without controversy, as you can imagine.

You all have a great day!

7day

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