Baldwin’s Leap Day Wx Blog for Feb. 29

A weekend forecast to leap about!

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Weather Headlines

A nice weekend to enjoy

Heavy rainfall for next week

Main threats

Be careful for any slick spots that may remain this morning.Those should quickly burn off as go through our morning.

Heavy rainfall next week will likely cause some flooding concerns for some. Several inches of rain are expected from Monday to Wednesday.


We have a nice weekend of sunshine in store for us! Sure, today will be cool but at least the sun is shining. Tomorrow the sun will continue to shine, but it will be about 15 degrees warmer!

Then, rain moves in for our work week. That rain has the potential to be very heavy both Monday and Tuesday nights, with Tuesday night looking like the heavier event. I’m expecting at least 4-6 inches of rain areawide, with some of you picking up more than that.

The good news is that it looks like the severe weather potential will be low. I’ll keep an eye on that, but right now the heavy rain is the main concern.

That all reduces down to mainly showers by Wednesday afternoon and evening, with skies clearing out Wednesday night. That should set the stage for a nice conclusion to the week.


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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Wx Hazards Across the Nation

A new storm system is bringing various winter storm watches and warnings to parts of the western U.S. The exception is southern California and parts of Montana (red), where wind advisories and high wind warnings are active. The fire danger is high enough to issue fire advisories for eastern New Mexico, parts of Kansas, and even parts of Florida (in red). That just means humidity will be very low and winds a bit breezy, causing wildfire danger to be high. Winter weather advisories and warnings are in effect for Lake-Effect snows in New York and Pennsylvania. Similar advisories are in effect for parts of the southern Appalachians today for orographic snowfall on mainly western slopes. Freeze watches continue for parts of the coastal Southeastern U.S. Flood warnings remain in effect for area streams across the Southeast.




Today is the anniversary of  the the Leap Day tornado of 2012 that struck northern Cumberland County. This tornado hit close to home…literally. I was teaching at Mississippi State and had just returned to my office to see the radar on my office computer.  I about fell out of my chair. I immediately called home and told my family to take cover. That hook echo looked like it was headed right for them. Sure enough, it barely missed mom and dad’s house (as the bird flies).

I recently spoke with a gentleman from the NWS Nashville and he said that he believes this was one of the strongest tornadoes to hit all of Middle TN in the 2010s.

This was the official NWS write-up about the event:

“An EF2 tornado with maximum wind speeds around 125 mph touched down along Castro-Pugh Road just north of Plateau Road in northern Cumberland County. Intermittent damage continued to the east-northeast for approximately 1 mile before the damage became continuous along Clear Creek Road. Hundreds of trees were uprooted and snapped and a home suffered roof damage in this area. The tornado continued east-northeast and reached EF2 intensity in the Rinnie community along Highway 127. A brick home slid off its foundation and was completely destroyed, killing one woman, and another nearby home lost its entire roof. A double wide mobile home along Hollow Road was also completely destroyed, killing another woman, with debris tossed hundreds of yards. At least a thousand trees were uprooted or snapped around this location. With the addition of new Google Earth aerial imagery made available in Spring 2013, the path has been extended over 3 additional miles and the path width widened to over 1/2 mile due to clear evidence of tornadic damage extending well east beyond the original path ending point.”

Our hearts go out to the families of those lost in this storm.

Pictured below is the path of the tornado, in green.


Saturday Snow Day

The largest recorded snowman was build in Bethel, Maine in February  of 1999. The snowman stood at 113 feet and seven inches tall! That broke the previous record held by Yamagata, Japan at 96 feet and seven inches tall. (chant USA, USA, USA…..) ha

The record for the most snow angels at one time was set in Bismarck, North Dakota. On February 17, 2007 several schools joined forces to create 8,962 snow angels!


I’ve got my hotel booked and I’m all set to head up to Sandusky, Ohio this week for my sixth NASA Social! I can’t wait! I’ll be driving up on Thursday and the NASA Social is on Friday. What a blast that day will be!


I announced this on Facebook last night and I’ll announce it here, too. We’re going to have our first ever Bigfoot festival in Crossville on October 10! Mark your calendar and hope the weather is a fine October day! (ha)

The idea came about when I went to Gatlinburg last summer for their first Bigfoot convention. I went out of curiosity. Who goes to these things? (ha) But what I saw were families having a great time…laughing, kidding around, and just absolutely enjoying themselves.

Which made me wonder….Why can’t we do this in Crossville? After asking around, I realized we can! Both our city and county mayor are on board, as well as various city councilmen and the Chamber. I have a lot of support!

As we were told on one of my NASA Socials, always look for inspiration in unexpected places. Well, I took your advice NASA and now we’re having a Bigfoot festival. I’m not sure that’s exactly what NASA intended…… LOL

Anyway, “like” our page on Facebook so you can stay up-to-date on the latest developments with the festival! This is going to be huge and it’s going to be so much dang fun!


You all have a great day!

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