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Baldwin’s Wx Blog for Sunday, March 1

In Like a Lamb

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Weather Headlines

Periods of heavy rainfall are likely Monday and Tuesday, along with rumbles of thunder.

The week ends on a dry note.

Main threats

Just be careful out driving if you find yourself under a heavier downpour of rain Monday or Tuesday. Slow down and drive carefully.

Thankfully, this system is looking more progressive now, which means it won’t linger as long as we had feared. That means forecast rainfall amount of 4-6 inches can be cut in half! That is very good news and let’s hope that forecast holds.


We’ll see a beautiful Sunday. The greatest difference between today and yesterday is that today will be 15-20 degrees warmer.

Tonight, skies cloud up and rain develops for many of us by morning. Expect a very wet Monday morning commute to work. That rain will be with us, heavy at times, through Wednesday. It now looks like 2-3 inches of rain will fall across the plateau, with some of you possibly picking up a bit more than that.

With guidance shifting the heaviest of rains a bit farther south of our area, the flood threat is reduced. It’s not a zero flood threat, but it’s greatly reduced. We can be thankful for that good news!

By Thursday, things should begin to dry out. That drier weather should stay with us into the next weekend.


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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Wx Hazards Across the Nation

A new storm system will bring coastal wind and rain and mountain snows to California. That heavy snow will make its way toward Nevada. Meanwhile, high winds threaten North Dakota. Lesser winds will be howling in northeast Texas. Many streams continue to be under flood warnings in the Southeast, with those conditions worsening Monday and Tuesday.




The deadliest avalanche in US history thundered down a mountain near Wellington Station, Washington on this day in 1910. The force of the avalanche swept three huge locomotives off the rails and over a cliff into a canyon. At least 100 lives were lost. The wreckage was buried underneath tons of snow.

Sunday Story

The extended outlooks for March show a pattern that favors below normal temperatures for our region. That could get interesting when March storm systems come through our area.

This brings to mind the winter of 1992-1993. Some unusually cold weather hit on the Halloween of 1992 that brought us about an inch of snow, but then things warmed up and it was generally nice the rest of that fall and winter.  

Then, a strong storm system moved through on the 21st of February and spawned several tornadoes across Tennessee, including one in Putnam County that injured nine people. 

In the weeks that followed that tornado outbreak, temperatures cooled significantly. Two chances of wintry precipitation at the end of February were followed by below average temperatures into March. 

Then, a storm system in the middle of March of 1993 would produce a snowfall that would be historic in nature for much of the eastern United States. Some of us refer to this as the Blizzard of 1993. Others refer to this as the Storm of the Century.

Across the plateau, snow accumulations of 1-2 feet were common. Howling winds led to snow drifts that were measured by the feet. The highest peak of the southern Appalachians, Mt. Leconte, had five feet of snow! 

That winter would go down as one of the snowiest in history for the plateau, even though it didn’t really get started until the end of February. 

The best thing about March snowstorms is that they melt so quickly. The blizzard hit on the weekend and by that next Wednesday we were playing in snow in short sleeves and 60-degree weather. 

So, winter ain’t over yet, folks. One thing we all know about this plateau is that you have to be ready for just about anything anytime.   


You all have a great day!

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