First of all, the radar is looking quiet thus far today. We’ll likely see a few showers pop up as we go through the day. I’ve seen a couple from time to time this morning but they are very isolated. If a storm develops, it could contain gusty winds and heavy rainfall. Again, activity this afternoon and evening should be very isolated. I think much of today’s activity will be just south of TN.
The bigger threat comes Wednesday night.
The 12:30 pm update from the Storm Prediction Center shows a broad area of severe weather risk for Wednesday night. The threat is much greater across West TN and we will track those storms as they move east. Once again, it looks like we’ll be dealing with a line of strong to severe storms, capable of damaging wind gusts and large hail. The tornado threat is very low.
Please remember, the winds of a severe t-storm can be just as damaging as those of a weak tornado. That’s why severe t-storm warnings are issued, and it’s why they should be taken as seriously as tornado warnings.
The daylight hours of Wednesday are looking very warm and breezy. Storms will hold off until after dark.
The map below shows the hail threat. Thankfully for us, that threat is greatest well to our west. There could be some impressive hailstorms in the black-hatched areas.
The greatest threat for severe weather today has shifted well north of our area. The Storm Prediction Center has now upgraded northern Ohio, northern Indiana, and southern Michigan to the enhanced risk for severe storms. They’re expecting a very active afternoon and evening!
I’m keeping an eye on it all and I’ll bring you updates as they become available!