Baldwin’s Sunny Monday Wx Blog for Apr 27th

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Weather Headlines

A beautiful start to the week

Unsettled midweek

A beautiful end to the week

Main threats

Wednesday: Some thunderstorms could be strong. Widespread severe weather is not expected.

Thursday night: Scattered frost is possible.

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today & Tomorrow: Mostly sunny and quite pleasant.

Wednesday: Rain & Storms. Some storms could be strong.

Thursday: Cool, with scattered showers.

Friday – Saturday: Mostly sunny and pleasant. A warming trend begins.

Sunday: A slight chance for a shower or storm. Very warm.

Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 108 at both Cibola, Arizona and Cahuilla Ranger Station, California

Low: 15 at Estcourt Station, Maine

Difference of: 93 degrees

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Some of the storms in western Texas could be on the strong side, and heat advisories remain in place for the Southwest. Otherwise, it’s a rather quiet day across the nation. That will change dramatically tomorrow, with an outbreak of severe weather expected for the southern plains.

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Records

Today is the anniversary of the 2011 tornado outbreak of 305 tornadoes across the Deep South. The outbreak claimed the lives of 300 people, with 210 of those lives lost in Alabama alone. This is, by far, the largest death toll in tornadoes in the modern Doppler era.

This surpassed the 1974 Super Outbreak of 148 tornadoes across 13 states. It was believed that the 1974 outbreak would never be surpassed. However, the 1974 outbreak still holds the record for the number of violent tornadoes in an outbreak.

I was teaching meteorology at Mississippi State when this 2011 outbreak occurred. It was the first time in my life I remember being scared of tornadoes. We had an EF-5 go north of Starkville and we had one go south of Starkville. At one point, many of us left Starkville because a supercell was coming our way. We moved south to watch the storm from a distance. Thankfully, that was one of the only supercells that day that did not produce tornadoes that day.

In Smithville, Mississippi, in they days following the outbreak, a flyover by a plane showed a red streak of paint across the top of a white water tower. Oddly, no one could find anything red around that area. Then, a red truck was found half a mile away, with a white streak of paint across it’s roof. It didn’t take long to realize that the Smithville EF-5 had thrown that pickup truck, upside down, across the top of that water tower and then dropped the truck half a mile away.

That’s just one story I have from that outbreak. One of many, many, many stories……..

Weather Trivia 

Q: What is the farthest distance (approximately) anyone has ever been carried by a tornado and survived?

a. 300 feet   b. 700 feet     c. 1,300 feet   d. 1,800 feet

(answer at bottom of blog!)

NASA Knowledge

NASA Administrator Jim Bridenstine had this statement on the passing of Mr. James Beggs, who served as NASA’s sixth administrator from 1981-1985. He was 94 years old.

“NASA sends its condolences to the family of James Beggs. Mr. Beggs led the agency during the earliest days of the Space Shuttle Program and helped us open a whole new era of exploration. We continue to build on his legacy today as we take advantage of our long-term presence in low-Earth orbit to make the advances to travel farther, and seed an entirely new segment of the economy through the innovations of commercial partners.

“Mr. Beggs also served his country in the U.S. Navy and supported NASA’s achievements during the Apollo era during an agency tenure in the late 1960s. His legacy guided the shuttle program toward its three decades of achievements and set the stage for a diverse and flexible astronaut corps from which we continue to benefit. We salute his service and will continue to honor his contributions to our great agency.”

Fly high, Mr. Beggs….fly high.

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Read the transcript of an Oral History Project interview with Mr. Beggs, performed in March 2002, at: https://go.nasa.gov/2Y6JeVM

Long Range Outlook 

The first week of May favors normal to slightly above normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. That time period is looking warm and rainy/stormy.

Temperature

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Precipitation 

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Baldwin’s View-of-the-Day

On Saturday, visible satellite imagery captured the incredible amounts of smoke coming off the Yucatan peninsula of Mexico. They are having drought and fires there these days. Also, notice that beautiful roll cloud pushing south across the Gulf of Mexico.

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Weather News

The tornado that touched down in Wilson and Smith Counties on Saturday has been rated an EF-1, with winds up to 90 mph. This is the official NWS damage survey report:

“The tornado quickly spun up to EF-1 near Bell Road in far eastern Wilson County where several trees were downed as well as roof and siding damage to a two story house. The tornado traveled northeast and hit another house off of Bluebird Road causing mostly roof damage. The driveway to this house had almost their entire tree
line lining the driveway shredded with tree limbs/debris. The tornado then crossed Interstate 40 where an 18 wheeler was flipped on its side causing a traffic accident where 3 injuries were reported. Additional damage was observed on North Commerce Road and Dawson Lane where mostly trees were damaged as well as a few
roofs and a trampoline in a neighborhood just as you crossed into Smith County. From there, minor tree damage was once again observed on Opossum Hollow Road along with a destroyed outbuilding. In addition, this is where a lumber/mill yard received damage and was also hit by the EF-3 tornado on March 3, 2020. From there, it became very difficult to determine if this tornado maintained any intensity at all as it had weakened
considerably to an EF-0 and crossed into the remnants of the EF-3 March 3, 2020 tornado path, so that is where we believe the tornado ended; just beyond Grant Highway.”

Answer to Trivia Question

A: (c) On March 12, 2006 Matt Suter was thrown 1,307 feet away from the mobile home he was inside of when the tornado hit. The twister bounced him along the ground for a bit, thankfully bouncing him up and over a barbed wire fence at one point.

He was knocked unconscious but had only minor injuries.

You all have a great day!

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