Baldwin’s Stormy Sunday Wx Blog for May 3rd

Weekend Edition

Wx Blog Slides (92)

Weather Headlines

Unsettled weather pattern begins this afternoon

A cold front on Tuesday will bring storms and cooler temps

More unsettled weather to end the week

Main threats

Today: Any storm that develops this afternoon and evening could be severe, with large hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center has placed the northern half of the plateau in the SLIGHT RISK for severe weather (mainly north of I-40) and the southern half in the MARGINAL RISK for severe weather (south of I-40) for this afternoon and evening.

Tuesday: A cold front will bring a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms. The timing of this looks to be in the morning hours, though that could change.

Friday & Saturday Nights: Frost is looking likely.

Baldwin’s Severe Wx Concern

Sunday Afternoon/Evening

I’ll monitor this through the day for you all. The greater concern is for you folks across Overton and Fentress Counties. Again, the primary threat is large hail and damaging wind gusts. The tornado threat is extremely low.

Wx Blog Slides (89)

Tuesday

The threats with this cold front look to be gusty winds and some hail. If the front comes through in the morning, our chances for severe weather will be quite low and that’s what it’s looking like right now. If that front speeds up and gets here in the afternoon, our chances for severe weather will go up a bit.

Wx Blog Slides (90)

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

Wx Blog Slides (91)

Daily Forecast

Today: Partly cloudy, with a chance for an afternoon shower or storm. Showers and storms become likely during the evening and overnight hours. Some of the storms today could be severe.

Monday: A chance for a shower or storm. Storms become more likely overnight, with some of those possibly being strong.

Tuesday: Rain and storms are likely. Some of the storms could be severe.

Wednesday: A morning shower is possible, then skies turn partly to mostly cloudy.

Thursday: Mostly sunny and pleasant.

Friday: A chance for showers and thundershowers, then clearing late. Scattered frost possible by Saturday morning.

Saturday: Morning frost, then partly to mostly cloudy. Frost likely overnight.

Almanac

Wx Blog Slides (93)

Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 111 at Rio Grande Village, Texas

Low: 18 at Peter Sinks, Utah

Difference of: 93 degrees

Sunday Story

During any tornado season, there’s rarely a shortage of videos shot by storm chasers that show the power of those mysterious storms. This year is no exception. 

On April 22 a tornado developed at Madill, Oklahoma. That storm was a good example of why you should never wait until you see a tornado before taking cover.

The tornado developed and moved quickly. Within just a few seconds, the tornado went from a small swirl to a large and powerful tornado. For the people the twister developed on top of, there was no tornado to see before it came down from the sky.

When a tornado warning is issued, it means the National Weather Service is confident that a tornado is occurring. They often don’t know if the circulation in the sky has made contact with the ground yet. Sometimes a warning means that contact could occur at any moment and that may take place right in your neighborhood.

The tornado with the Madill storm was, like many tornadoes, not visible for its lifetime. In fact, when the tornado began all one could see was the funnel hanging from the clouds. For those far enough away, the swirling of debris and dust could be seen on the ground.There was no visible funnel connecting the ground rotation to the funnel hanging from the clouds.

A tornado is a rotation that extends from the cloud to the ground. The funnel is not always visible. Sometimes, the clouds of the funnel have not yet condensed to form clouds, creating an invisible vortex. 

Never try to see a tornado before you take cover. You just might realize that it has found you before you could find it.

(Sunday Story’s are published the previous week in both the Fentress Courier and Livingston Enterprise)

You all have a great day!

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