2:15 Storm Update

WHAT: Strong to severe storms

WHEN TO BE WEATHER AWARE: 5:00 – 9:00 pm

The NWS Nashville just issued a special statement advising that the radar be watched closely over southern Middle TN in the coming hours. A warm front is lifting north. Thus far, the front has been quiet. If that should change, any storm that fires off along that front could quickly become severe, with large hail and damaging winds the main threat. Tornadoes with those storms could also be possible. I’ll keep an eye on the radar.

The other concern is a line of storms that will likely move in later this evening, probably around sunset. That line could pack a punch, with storms capable of damaging winds.

I’ve circled the two areas of concern on RadarScope below. The first is the warm front across southern Middle TN and the other is that squall line trying to develop over Arkansas and Missouri.

205monday

It’s easy to notice that we have lots of sunshine warming us up this afternoon. This is destabilizing the atmosphere. Our humidity is rather low and that would hinder storms, except a warm front is coming into southern Middle TN and that will bring in more humid air.

The Storm Prediction Center just issued a special statement for our area saying to expect severe weather watches to be issued this afternoon and evening for our area. Be ready for those weather radios to sound.

Later tonight, a flood threat may evolve for the northern plateau. I’ll have to watch that closely too. That would primarily affect Overton and Fentress Counties, as it looks right now.

I have nudged the concern scale up a bit, owing mostly to new concerns with this warm front in southern Middle TN and the growing intensification of the storms over Arkansas and Missouri. This concern could easily increase as we go through the afternoon and evening. I’ll keep an eye on things and update you as needed.

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