WHAT: A strong to severe t-storm (wind and hail the main threats)
WHEN: 11:00 – 2:00 is the threat window now
Clouds have rolled back in and that will help keep our atmosphere more stable than it would otherwise be. We’ll just track showers as they travel across Middle TN this morning and afternoon. Some of those will organize into thunderstorms. Some of those storms could contain hail up to one inch in diameter and gusty winds.
The cold front is currently approaching Nashville. That’s the elongated area of showers I circled just west of Music City. We’ll track that line, as well as any storms that may pop up out ahead of that line (that’s why my threat window starts at 11:00). The main line will likely arrive around noon.
The threat for severe weather increases as you go east toward Knoxville. If you have travel plans in that direction today you will need to pay attention to the weather this afternoon.
At this time, there are no watches or warnings for Tennessee. I expect that will change as we go into the afternoon, esp for East TN.
My level of concern is unchanged from this morning’s outlook. The threat still appears on the low side of the spectrum.
I’ll keep an eye on things! Let’s just be weather aware for the next few hours. The good news is that after today it doesn’t look like we’ll have any severe weather to worry about for at least a week.
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