Headlines
Heat and humidity are back!
Showers and storms return
Watching the tropics
Main threats
Storms on Thursday could pack a punch. Be weather aware in the afternoon and early evening hours. The Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in the marginal risk for severe storms.
Baldwin’s Severe Wx Concern
My concern remains low. However, if a squall line develops to our north, as some guidance suggest, that could increase my concern if it moves our way. The main threat would be damaging, straight-line winds.
Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast
Daily Forecast
Today: Partly cloudy and warm. Humidity will be noticeably higher than in previous days. The heat and humidity will lead to a slight chance for an afternoon/evening storm.
Thursday: Scattered showers and storms, mainly in the afternoon/evening. Some storms could be severe with damaging winds.
Friday: Scattered showers and storms, mainly in the afternoon/evening.
Saturday – Sunday: Partly cloudy and warm. A chance for mainly afternoon/evening showers and/or storms.
Monday -Tuesday: Rain chances depend on how close Tropical Storm Cristobal tracks to us. Monitoring.
Hay Weather Forecast
Today is the last good hay weather day for a while! Some of you may even deal with a shower or storm today, though most of us will stay dry but humid. Rain chances dominate the forecast from tomorrow through early next week.
Almanac
Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature
High: 110 at Death Valley, California
Low: 21 at Mount Washington, New Hampshire
Difference of: 89 degrees
Today’s
Wx Hazards Across the Nation
Severe storms threaten an area from the plains to the Mid-Atlantic. The greatest risk for tornadoes is across western South Dakota and then again in a region from Pennsylvania and point east. The greatest risk for very large hail can be found across western Nebraska and western South Dakota. Tropical Storm Cristobal is in the southern Gulf.
Tomorrow’s
Wx Hazards Across the Nation
Severe storms will threaten parts of the plains again this day. All modes of severe weather will be possible, including tornadoes. Cristobal may weaken for this day, before strengthening again.
Friday’s
Wx Hazards Across the Nation
Showers and storms can be found across the country, with Tropical Storm Cristobal strengthening in the Gulf.
Tropics
Tropical Storm Cristobal has winds of 60 mph this morning, making it a strong tropical storm. The system may weaken today, as it interacts with land, but should restrengthen in time, when it moves out into the Gulf. The system will then track slowly north and make landfall somewhere from Texas to the Alabama coastline Sunday night as a tropical storm or low-end hurricane.
Records
The latest frost ever recorded for Crossville occurred on this day in 1956. The low temperature that morning was 33 degrees! I can see my tomato plants shivering at this very thought! (ha)
Weather Trivia
Q: On average, how many tropical storms form in the Atlantic and/or Gulf of Mexico each year?
a. 7 b. 9 c. 12 d. 15
(Answer at the end of the blog!)
Long Range Outlook
Cloudier conditions from Tropical Storm Cristobal will bring average temperatures and average to above average rainfall to the Southeast in the 8-12 time period.
Temperature
Precipitation
7-Day Projected Precip Totals
The anticipated moisture from Cristobal shows up well on the 7-day rainfall totals map.
NASA News
NASA reports that astronauts Hurley and Behnken are settling in quite nicely to their space station life. Things are going very well!
Baldwin’s View-of-the-Day
This is an all-too-familiar scene across the plateau these days! Can you just smell that hay?
Answer to Trivia Question
A: An average season has about a dozen named tropical storms. About half of those evolve into hurricanes.
You all have a great day!