Baldwin’s Full Moon Friday Wx Blog for June 5

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Headlines

Showers and storms for today

Saturday – Monday looking mostly hot and dry

Watching “Cristobal” for rain by the middle of next week

Main threats

Any storm that develops today or tomorrow will be capable of becoming strong to briefly severe. Widespread severe weather, however, is not expected for the next week.

Baldwin’s Severe Wx Concern

Due to the isolated nature of any storm threat, my concern level is low.

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today: Scattered showers and storms.

Saturday: A slight chance for a mainly afternoon/evening shower or storm. Otherwise, it will be hot and humid.

Sunday – Monday: Hot and humid.

Tuesday – Wednesday: Scattered showers and storms, especially Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Thursday: A chance for showers and storms.

Hay Weather Forecast

Today is definitely not a hay day.

Saturday through Monday is our next drier streak, though I can’t completely rule out an afternoon storm on Saturday. Never the less, this is the next best shot for working in hay, with rain returning as soon as Tuesday afternoon/evening.

The next good chance for hay weather may come the end of next week. I’ll keep you posted! I’ll also try to have a video update by this evening.

Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 110 at Death Valley, California

Low: 31 at Estcourt Station and Fort Kent, Maine

Difference of: 79 degrees

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms will threaten the Lower Mississippi River Valley. That activity will be moving south. Flooding rains will threaten an area from near Washington DC to New York City.

FridayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Oh, to be chasing across the northern plains! Had the virus not hit, some of us had planned to be chasing on the northern plains this week. We wouldn’t have been disappointed. A significant severe weather outbreak is expected in that yellow-shaded region. Notice all the snow flakes flying for the northern Rockies and Sierra Nevada Mountains of California.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Cristobal gathers strength in the Gulf and moves north.

FridayThreat2

Sunday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Even more significant severe weather is expected across the northern plains for Sunday. Once again, snow flakes fly in the Rockies.

Tropical Storm Cristobal threatens the northern Gulf Coast with torrential, life-threatening flooding. New Orleans is on high alert.

FridayThreat3

Tropics

Cristobal moved inland and weakened to a tropical depression. However, the system will move back over water today and start tracking northward. As it does so, it will strengthen. Cristobal is expected to be a very large tropical storm, with impacts felt far from the center. As with ANY tropical system, the main threat is rainfall and life-threatening flooding, especially for New Orleans. Remember, it’s not the wind that makes levees fail, it’s the water……..

FridayCristobal

Records

On this day in 1859 frost was reported from Iowa to New England. Up to two inches of snow blanketed parts of Ohio. Temperatures in New York state dropped into the mid 20s in several places. The wheat crop in the Midwest was severely damaged.

Weather Trivia 

Q: What is the name of the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic?

a. Katrina    b. Wilma   c. Andrew    d. Hugo    e. Matthew

(Answer at the end of the blog!)

Long Range Outlook 

Long-range indicators are pointing to cooler temps and drier weather for the middle of June.

Temperature

FridayTemp

Precipitation

FridayRain 

7-Day Projected Precip Totals

The forecast track for Cristobal shows up well!

FridayQPF

Baldwin’s View-of-the-Day

I videoed this Wednesday evening, when a thunderstorm was over Rockwood, TN.

Answer to Trivia Question

A: (b) At her strongest point, Hurricane Wilma (2005) had maximum sustained winds of 185 mph and an astonishingly low barometric pressure of 882 mb. The storm also broke all records for the speed in which the storm strengthened. Thankfully, the storm weakened before making landfall in southern Florida.

The map below shows the track of Wilma.

wilma2005trk

You all have a great day!

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