Baldwin’s Thursday Wx Blog for June 25

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

Any storm that develops over the next seven days will be capable of producing gusty winds, deadly cloud-to-ground lightning, and heavy rainfall. An isolated, severe wind gust is always possible.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

I’ve moved my concern up just a bit from yesterday, owing to increased storm chances that will begin on Sunday. An increase in storm coverage will increase that risk for an isolated strong/severe storm. Widespread severe weather is not expected at this time.

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today: Partly cloudy, with only a very slim chance for an afternoon storm.

Friday: A bit better chance for a storm than on Thursday, otherwise partly cloudy.

Saturday: Continued partly cloudy, with only a slim chance for a storm.

Sunday: Scattered showers and storms, especially in the afternoon/evening.

Monday – Wednesday: More scattered showers and storms. We should all see some rain in this period.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

The more guidance that comes in, the wetter next week looks. That rain chance should begin as soon as Sunday. It still looks like today, tomorrow, and Saturday will be alright. The greater rain chance for the next three days will come on Friday, when that chance creeps up to 30%. Most of us should stay dry over the next three days.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 119 at Death Valley, California

Low: 31 at both Angel Fire, New Mexico and Peter Sinks, Utah

Tropics

No tropical development is expected over the next five days.

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms threaten the northern plains, with large hail and damaging straight-line winds being the main threats. Isolated tornadoes are also possible.

ThursdayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms from today push eastward tomorrow (yellow striped area). Again, damaging winds and hail are the main threat, but an isolated tornado is certainly possible.

ThursdayThreat2

Saturday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

That same system will threaten an area from eastern Ohio to Pennsylvania on Saturday.

ThursdayThreat3

Records

On this day in 1953 the city of Anchorage, Alaska hit 86 degrees. This was their hottest temperature on record.

Long Range Outlook

Above normal rainfall should keep temperatures around normal, as we go into the first days of July.

 

Temperature

ThursdayTemp

Precipitation 

ThursdayRain

Weather News

The US Drought Monitor publishes every Thursday, a couple of days after the data comes in. Our rains this past week came just in time. As you can see, some areas of low-end dry conditions were beginning to develop across parts of West and Middle TN. After this coming week’s rainfall, these drier areas should be reduced or even taken away.

20200623_TN_trd

You all have a great day!

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