Baldwin’s Monday Wx Blog for June 29

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

The Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in the marginal risk for severe storms for Tuesday and Wednesday. A system will pass through our region and, with heat and humidity in place, will spark some storms that could become intense. Damaging straight-line winds will be the primary threat. Torrential downpours of rain with any storm could lead to localized flash flooding.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

A system passing through the area will set off numerous showers and storms, especially on Tuesday and Wednesday. Some of those storms could become strong to severe, as well as contain torrential downpours of rainfall.

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Once that system passes through, our storm chances will drop, along with the threat for any severe storms.

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today: A chance for showers and storms. Otherwise, partly cloudy and warm and humid.

Tuesday – Wednesday: Numerous showers and storms. A few of the storms could be severe and/or contain very heavy rainfall.

Thursday – Friday: A slim chance for a shower or storm. Otherwise, partly cloudy and hot.

Fourth of July: A slim chance for mainly afternoon storms. Otherwise, partly cloudy a bit more humid.

Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon/evening.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Hey! This is some good news! Yesterday, some data started to suggest a drier pattern emerging for the end of the week. Today, that data is even stronger! It now looks like the disturbance that would have stalled out over our region will actually push just south enough of us and give us drier days! That now means that Thursday, Friday, and Saturday are looking good! We may even squeeze in a halfway decent Sunday, though afternoon storms will become a bit more likely by then.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 110 at Death Valley, California

Low: 30 at Angel Fire, New Mexico

Tropics

We’re still keeping an eye on two possible development areas over the coming days. Neither one look too promising, but I’ll keep a watch on it for you.

MondayTropics

Meanwhile, I created a vlog last night with an update to this season’s hurricane outlook. Check it out if you’re interested!

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Today’s big threat will be heavy rainfall, which will threaten and extensive stretch of real estate from Minnesota to Kentucky.  A large portion of eastern Missouri and western Illinois looks threatened with heavy rainfall, too. Meanwhile, hot and dry conditions continue to threaten extensive portions of the Southwest with wildfires.

MondayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

A cold front will produce strong to severe storms across portions of the northern plains. All modes of severe weather are possible, including a few tornadoes. Heavy rainfall will threaten southern Illinois and western Kentucky. The wildfire danger will remain elevated across New Mexico.

MondayThreat2

Wednesday’s  

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Wednesday is looking quiet at this time.

MondayThreat3

Records

On this day in 2012 Crossville recorded the hottest temperature ever officially recorded there. The high hit 102 degrees. This was only the second time Crossville had ever recorded a triple digit high temperature.

Long Range Outlook 

The latter part of the first week of July tends to favor normal to below normal temperatures and above average rainfall.

Temperature

MondayTemp

Precipitation 

MondayRain

You all have a great day!

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