Baldwin’s Tuesday Wx Blog for June 30th

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Strong to severe storms will be possible through Wednesday. The Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in the marginal risk for severe storms for both today and Wednesday. Damaging winds are the main threat. Flash flooding is also a threat.

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Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

Numerous storms will affect the plateau over the next 48 hours. Any one of these storms could become severe, with damaging winds being the primary threat. Be aware that flash flooding is also possible, as torrential rainfall is quite likely with stronger storms.

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While my concern is low for this period, please be aware that if you have outdoor plans this holiday weekend that you need to be mindful of any storm that may pop up near your location. Remember, if you are close enough to hear it thunder you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today: Scattered showers and storms. Some storms could be severe, with damaging winds and torrential rainfall.

Wednesday: Showers and storms are likely. A few storms could be severe, with damaging winds and torrential rainfall.

Thursday – Friday: Partly cloudy and hot. Only a slim chance for a mainly afternoon shower or storm.

Fourth of July: Hot and humid. A slight chance for an afternoon/evening storm.

Sunday: A slightly better chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm. Otherwise, partly cloudy and hot-n-humid.

Monday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Very high rain chances will prevent much outside work from getting down through Wednesday. However, guidance continues to strongly suggest a much drier pattern evolving for the end of the week! There will still be that slim chance for an afternoon storm (it’s summer on the plateau) but that chance is quite slim. Once we get to Sunday and Monday, rain chances increase to the 30-40% category but that is mainly for the afternoon and evening, as it looks right now.

Looking into next week, rainfall chances look to stay around the 30-50% category zone for each day, as it looks right now. That would be mainly afternoon/evening type activity.

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 108 at Rio Grande Village, Texas

Low: 26 at Sun Valley, Idaho


An area of low pressure continues to be monitored off the East Coast of the US. However, it is no longer expected to develop into anything more than it is right now, as it moves out to sea. Elsewhere, additional development is not expected over the next five days.



Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall threatens a large area from southeastern Iowa down to northern Alabama. Flash flooding is likely in these areas today. Severe t-storms threaten the northern plains. All modes of severe weather are possible there. Meanwhile, the wildfire danger continues across the Southwest US.



Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall will threaten portions of the the Midsouth, including West TN. Some of that rainfall could easily lead to flash flooding. Meanwhile, hot and dry conditions continue to cause dangerous wildfire conditions across the Southwest US.



Wx Hazards Across the Nation

A quieter pattern is expected across the country.



On this day in 1886 the Apalachicola-Tallahassee area of Florida was hit by the second destructive hurricane in only nine days! It’s bad enough to get one destructive hurricane in a season, but to get two within a week and a half is almost unheard of.

Long Range Outlook 

A wet pattern for the Southeast is expected to keep temps from getting too hot. This is for the period of July 5 through July 9. Notice on the map that where drier conditions are expected, hotter conditions are expected.





You all have a great day!

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