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Baldwin’s Thursday Wx Blog for July 9

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Any storm that develops could be on the strong side, perhaps even briefly severe. A damaging wind gust, torrential rainfall, and deadly cloud-to-ground lightning are all possible with any storm.

Next week, the trend will be for hotter and drier conditions. That will lead to safety concerns with the heat.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today & Tomorrow: Hot and humid. Scattered mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms. Some storms could be strong to briefly severe.

Saturday: Partly cloudy and hot. A slim chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm.

Sunday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon and evening.

Monday – Wednesday: Trending hotter and drier. We’ll need to be safe in that heat.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Rain chances at 50/50 today and tomorrow will lead to pretty good hay days. Just be aware of that threat for rain, mainly in the afternoon and evening.

Saturday should be mostly hot and dry, before rain chances return on Sunday.

Next week is trending hotter and drier.

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 114 at Ocotilo, California

Low: 23 at Copper Basin, Idaho


We will likely have our sixth named storm of the season by tomorrow. That storm will be Fay. This is the earliest recorded sixth named storm of a hurricane season. This is also the third consecutive storm to form unusually far to the north for this time of year.

The storm is expected to track up the coastline of the East Coast, bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds through the rest of the week and weekend.



Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms and heavy rainfall will threaten portions of the upper Midwest and the southern plains. Large hail, damaging winds, and flooding rainfall are the main threats. Another area of severe storms will threaten western Nebraska. All modes of severe weather are possible there, including isolated tornadoes.



Wx Hazards Across the Nation

An expansive area of severe storms will threaten the northern and central plains. This will likely be in the form of a dangerous complex of storms moving southeast, with very damaging straight-line winds being the main threat. Extremely large hail could fall across South Dakota, as well.



Wx Hazards Across the Nation

The biggest story for Saturday will likely be they system moving up the East Coast. That will likely be our sixth tropical storm of the 2020 season. Hazards will likely increase for that area on this map as we get closer to that time period, especially for heavy rainfall.



On this day in 1988 the nation found itself in the grips of a relentless heat wave, with numerous cities breaking record highs. At the peak of the heat wave, 43% of the country was either experiencing severe or extreme drought conditions (including TN).

Long Range Outlook 

The middle of July is looking hot and dry. About the only thing that could change this forecast would be a tropical system. That is not expected at this time.





Weather Shot (New!)

Check out this shot of a twister in eastern Colorado on Wednesday. This was taken by Emily Krogmeier, southeast of Julesburg, Colorado. FYI, the fields are being harvested for wheat and this photo was taken from inside a grain harvester!


NASA Nerdology

That’s right! Your NASA section is back! It’s been missing for far too long, right?

Some of you may have seen this video on my Facebook page. Notice the comet come into view as the International Space Station travels around the world. How cool is that? This comet may be visible in our evening skies in the coming days. I’ll keep you posted!

You all have a great day!

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