Baldwin’s Thursday Wx Blog for July 16

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

Just be safe in the heat of the afternoons and evenings. Drink plenty of water, stay in the shade/air conditioning, and take it easy. And always check that backseat for kids/pets. Make sure outdoor pets have fresh water and shade.

Any storm that develops could be strong to briefly severe, especially in the heat of the day.  Always be mindful of that deadly cloud-to-ground lightning.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

I have now started adding a marker showing the threat level from the previous outlook, so you can see how my concern level changes with time. This will allow you to see if I’m getting more concerned with a situation or less concerned. I hope this is helpful!

My concern has increased a bit from yesterday, owing to the increased risk for storms each day, as well as the increased risk for a complex of storms or two to impact our region in the coming days. I’ll keep an eye on all of this. This is a very typical summer pattern for our area.

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today: Hot and humid. A chance for showers and storms this afternoon/evening. Some of those showers and storms could linger into the overnight hours, as well. Some storms could be strong to briefly severe.

Friday – Wednesday: Hot and humid, with scattered showers and storms, mainly in the afternoons and evenings. Any storm that develops could be on the strong side.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Shower and storm chances have increased a bit for this afternoon and evening, therefore I’ve had to drop the whole hay bale and exchange it for half a bale. This begins a pattern that will be with us for some time, with hot and humid days and scattered showers and storms, mainly in the afternoons and evenings.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 117 at both Death Valley and Stovepipe Wells, California

Low: 21 at Peter Sinks, Utah

Tropics

At this time, no activity is expected for the next five days.

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms will threaten portions of northern Ohio, western Pennsylvania and New York state today. The risk for tornadoes is rather high across this threat area. Another severe weather threat exists across portions of Nebraska. All modes of severe weather are possible there, too. Since this map was created, a severe weather risk has increased for northern Minnesota, where it also appears a tornado threat will be possible.

ThursdayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

A severe weather outbreak is looking likely across the northern plains and upper Midwest for Friday. All modes of severe are likely, including tornadoes. Heavy rainfall will threaten the region with flooding.

ThursdayThreat2

Saturday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Friday’s severe weather threat moves east and south on Saturday, threatening southern Minnesota and much of Wisconsin.

ThursdayThreat3

Records

On this day in 1980 the temperature hit 101 degrees in Crossville. This is the first official triple digit ever recorded for Crossville and the hottest reading ever officially recorded for the area.

Long Range Outlook 

A hot and moist pattern continues to look likely throughout next week.

Temperature

ThursdayTemp

Precipitation

ThursdayRain Weather Shot

Storm chasers captured this absolutely incredible image of a tornado near Ashby, Minnesota on July 8th. The chasers are actually sisters who chase together. Their Twitter name is @_TwisterSisters (ha). They sure know how to get a good tornado pic!

nadermn

NASA Nerdology

The International Space Station crew snapped this starry nighttime shot of Rio de Janeiro and surrounding cities on the Brazilian coast, as the station orbited above São Paolo. While the crew observes Earth from more than 200 miles above the planet, astronaut Bob Behnken and Commander Chris Cassidy also are concentrating on the final set of power upgrade spacewalks on the station with their next spacewalk slated for today!

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You all have a great day!

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