Baldwin’s Sunday Story Wx Blog for July 19

Abbreviated Weekend Edition

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

Be safe in the heat. Make sure you stay hydrated and that you stay in the shade or air conditioning. Also, make sure your outside pets have fresh water.

Any storm that develops in heat of the afternoon could be on the strong side. And always be mindful of that cloud-to-ground lightning.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today – Tuesday: Hot and humid, with a chance for a mainly afternoon/evening shower or storm.

Wednesday – Friday: Continued hot and humid, with scattered mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms.

Saturday: Hot and humid, with a chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

The hay day forecast is looking HOT but mainly dry. Just watch out for an isolated afternoon or evening shower or storm through Tuesday. By mid-week, those afternoon shower and storm chances increase to around 40-50%. By the weekend, rain chances should lower once again.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 119 at Death Valley, California

Low: 31 at Stanley, Idaho

Tropics

We’ll be tracking a system as it makes its way through the Caribbean over the next few days. By the middle to end of next week, the system should be in the Gulf, where it could become our next named storm. At this time, the coast of Texas appears to the target, though much could (and likely will) change with this forecast. I’ll keep you posted.

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Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms threaten the Ohio Valley and western New England today, with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. Another area of severe storms can be found across western Nebraska, where there’s even a tornado threat. Meanwhile, heavy rain threatens portions of Kansas and Missouri, as well as an area near the Texas Panhandle region.

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Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms will threaten the Dakotas. Heavy rainfall will threaten North Dakota and northern Minnesota, as well as portions of Kansas and Missouri once again.

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Tuesday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

At this time, a quieter day is expected. Later outlooks will likely highlight some threat areas across the northern and central plains, as well as the Northeast.

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Sunday Story

(The Sunday Story is a reprint of the weekly weather story written for the Fentress Courier and Livingston Enterprise each week)

Hurricanes are the most powerful storms on earth. Thankfully, we live far from the oceans. Still, the distance doesn’t completely spare us from their wrath.

Oftentimes, the greatest threat from tropical systems for our area comes from the heavy rainfall they can produce. Sometimes that rainfall is beneficial, especially in a hot and dry summer, but sometimes too much rain comes too fast, leading to serious flooding issues.

Another danger is tornadoes. Tropical tornadoes are often weak and short-lived, but they can still do damage. They are also hard to warn for, as radar has a hard time detecting them before they have dissipated.

One of the more memorable tropical systems to affect our area was Hurricane Opal in 1995. That storm made landfall near Destin, Florida and made a beeline for Crossville and Jamestown. Tropical storm warnings were issued as far north as Chattanooga! Trees were downed and flooding was widespread across the plateau.

Another notable storm was Katrina in 2005. After devastating parts of the northern Gulf Coast, that storm then moved north and brought heavy rainfall and very gusty winds to the plateau.

The ocean waters are warmer than we’ve ever recorded them being and that could spell big tropical troubles this hurricane season. The sixth name storm was reached by July 9, making this the earliest sixth named storm of any hurricane season on record.

The National Hurricane Center recently reported that a La Nina may be developing in the Pacific. This is a cooling of the Pacific equatorial waters, due to stronger trade winds. La Nina often creates an environment unfavorable for hurricanes in the Pacific, but favorable for them in the Atlantic.

However busy this hurricane season gets, let’s just hope they all stay out at sea and far, far away from the plateau!

You all have a great day!

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