Baldwin’s Wednesday Wx Blog for July 22

Be yourself. Everyone else is already taken.

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

As always, be safe in the heat. Drink water and stay in the shade. Make sure outdoor animals have fresh water and shade.

Any storm that develops will be capable of deadly cloud-to-ground lightning, a damaging wind gust, small hail, and torrential rainfall. Always keep an eye to the sky if you’re out and about during the afternoons and evenings.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today – Friday: Hot and humid, with scattered afternoon/evening showers and storms. Some storms could be strong to briefly severe.

Saturday – Tuesday: Hot and humid. A chance for afternoon/evening showers and storms.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

We’ll be dodging afternoon showers and storms for the next few days. Afterwards, the forecast my trend a bit hotter and drier.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 121 at Death Valley, California

Low: 27 at Peter Sinks, Utah

Tropics

The system in the Gulf continues to slowly organize and will likely become our next named storm of the 2020 season. That storm would by Hanna and is headed to the coast of Texas. The storm could make impact as a tropical storm by the end of this week. Heavy rainfall would be the main threat.

two_atl_5d0

Farther east, we have Tropical Storm Gonzalo, with winds of 45 mph. This is one to watch. Some models want to strengthen the storm, others want to keep it weaker. The National Hurricane Center has said that this storm has an unusually high level of unpredictability. It is a small storm and small storms tend to strengthen and weaken more rapidly than larger systems (they also like to surprise us!). Stay tuned.

083952_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms and heavy rainfall will threaten a large piece of real-estate today from Virginia to New York state. The threat for tornadoes is highest across southeast New York, stopping just short of New York City. Heavy rainfall will also be a concern from the southern Appalachians to southern Pennsylvania, mainly from afternoon storms that could produce torrential rainfall. I should note that a tornado threat may also evolve today across southern Nebraska. Meanwhile, the wildfire danger increases across southern Nevada, and an area of low pressure organizes in the Gulf.

WEdnesdayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

A quiet day is expected, with the exception of a wildfire danger across Nevada.

WEdnesdayThreat2

Friday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

So far, this map looks good. However, a tropical system in the Gulf may be threatening the eastern coast of Texas and that could change this map for that area.

WEdnesdayThreat3

Records

A lightning strike hit a herd of sheep in Wasatch National Forest in Utah on this day in 1918. The strike killed all 504 sheep, which had huddled together during the storm. The electricity simply transferred from one sheep to another. They were all killed instantly.

Long Range Outlook 

Long term trends for July 27-31 are beginning to trend a bit cooler (though still hot) and wetter.

Temperature

WEdnesdayTemp

Precipitation 

WEdnesdayRain

Weather Shot

I shared this on Facebook last night but I’ll share it with you all too. I’m still learning lightning photography, but I was able to capture this strike in Fentress County yesterday evening. Always be careful around that lightning, folks. These summer storms really know how to put down the strikes!

Picture1

NASA Nerdology

Check out this sunset…….on Mars! This was shot as the sun set over Gale Crater, Mars. I don’t know about you, but I think Earth has Mars beat when it comes to stunning sunsets. (ha)

You all have a great day!

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