Baldwin’s Friday Wx Blog for July 24

“Stop waiting for Friday
for summer,
for someone to fall in love with you,
for life.

Happiness is achieved when you stop waiting for it and make the most of the moment you are in now!”

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

Just be aware that any storm that develops will be capable of a damaging wind gust, torrential rainfall, and deadly cloud-to-ground lightning.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of our region in the marginal risk for severe storms again today, just as they have the past couple of days. Any severe weather will be isolated and short-lived.

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today: Scattered mainly afternoon and evening showers and storms. One or two storms could be severe.

Saturday: A slightly lower chance for a mainly afternoon shower or storm.

Sunday – Monday: The drier of the seven days on the outlook. Partly cloudy and hot and humid. Still, we can’t rule out an afternoon shower or storm.

Tuesday – Thursday: A bit cooler and bit wetter. Scattered showers and storms are possible each day, especially in the afternoons and evenings.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Saturday through Monday continue to look like the better hay days on this outlook. We’ll dodge more scattered showers and storms today, and again by next Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 114 at Death Valley, California

Low: 32 at Chouteau, Montana

Tropics

The tropics are getting very active. I have more info on Hanna and Gonzalo below, but you’ll also notice a new tropical wave coming off the African coast on this map. That system will need to be watched closely, as it will likely become our ninth named storm of the season next week and may develop in the same area Gonzalo is located in now.

two_atl_5d0

Tropical Storm Hanna is expected to make landfall on the Texas coast as a strong tropical storm on Saturday. Flooding rainfall will be the main threat. The storm has winds of 40 mph this morning, but a Hurricane Hunter aircraft will be investigating the storm soon, so that data could change. It is not impossible that Hanna could strengthen to a weak hurricane before landfall, but that looks unlikely at this point.

Hanna

As Hanna makes landfall on Saturday, Tropical Storm Gonzalo will likely be strengthening into the season’s first hurricane. The storm has winds of 60 mph this morning but should become a minimal hurricane by tomorrow. Some models have this storm dissipating a few days from now, others do not. I’ll keep an eye on it.

Gonzalo

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms threaten the northern plains, with all modes of severe weather possible. Heavy rainfall threatens southern Arizona and southern New Mexico. Meanwhile, we’ll be tracking Tropical Storm Hanna through the Gulf.

FridayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Tropical Storm Hanna makes landfall on the Texas coastline. Meanwhile, heavy rainfall threatens Minnesota and northern Wisconsin, as well as western New Mexico.

FridayThreat2

Sunday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall threatens parts of the central plains and Midwest, from Colorado to Iowa. Heavy rainfall from the remnants of Hanna threaten extreme southern Texas.

FridayThreat3

Records

On this day in 1957 the city of Sparta recorded its greatest one-day rainfall every measured, with 6.10 inches of rain falling!

On this day in 1999 a Livingston farmer is injured by lightning that struck the fence he was holding. He was knocked unconscious. A neighbor witnessed the incident and immediately came to the farmer’s aid, performing CPR until paramedics arrived. The farmer eventually makes a full recover.

Good fences may make good neighbors, but when lightning hits that fence and you’ve got a hold of it, a good neighbor may just save your life! (ha)

Long Range Outlook

Check it out! Cooler and wetter weather may be waiting on us as we wrap up July and move into the first days of August. If this pattern holds, it may not bode well for Highway 127 yard salers. I’ll keep an eye on that. 

Temperature

FridayTemp

Precipitation 

FridayRain

Weather Shot

I shot this yesterday and didn’t notice anything until I was looking at the pictures later. Notice how the jet contrail changes shape around the growing cumulus cloud. How crazy cool is that? Also, note the developing pileus cloud atop that cumulus cloud. #weathernerd

Flag1

Flag2

NASA Nerdology

Russia enjoyed a successful launch of Progress 76 yesterday! The spacecraft is carrying about three tons of supplies to the International Space Station. Nothing like a successful rocket launch!

You all have a great day!

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