Baldwin’s Tuesday Wx Blog for July 28th

“If you do what you always did, you will get what you always got.”

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

The greatest threats from storms this week could be torrential rainfall that could lead to localized flash flooding. Some storms could produce 1-3 inches of rain in an hour. As always, be mindful of deadly cloud-to-ground lightning and the possibility of a damaging wind gust.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Tuesday – Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could produce torrential rainfall.

Saturday – Sunday: More showers and storms.

Monday: Partly cloudy, with a chance for showers or storms, mainly in the afternoon/evening.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

This week is not looking good for hay. I was hesitant to even leave those half bales on today and tomorrow. By Thursday and Friday, rain chances really increase. Don’t be surprised if those weekend half bales turn to red Xs. The extended outlook beyond Monday should turn cooler and drier, so long as nothing tropical moves our way.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 118 at Death Valley, California

Low: 31 at Chouteau, Montana

Tropics

We will likely have our ninth named storm by this evening. Hopefully, the storm will curve out to sea before making impacts to the US, but that will have to be watched very, very closely. Impacts to the US could begin by this weekend, should it continue moving this way.

Tuesdaytropics

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall threatens the southern plains and portions of northern Wyoming.

TuesdayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

More heavy rainfall for southern plains, as well as for portions of the northern and central plains.

TuesdayThreat2

Thursday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall moves east to the MidSouth.

TuesdayThreat3

Records

A small, but intense, hurricane struck Bay Saint Louis on the Mississippi Coast. The storm wiped out nearly every structure in the town. It was said to have been the worst hurricane in 50 years to have hit the area. A crew of 39 were lost at sea.

The same area would be hit 150 years later by one of the only cat 5 hurricanes to ever strike the US. Bay Saint Louis is where Hurricane Camille made landfall in 1969.

This same area would be impacted again in 2005 by Hurricane Katrina.

Incidentally, if you ever move to Bay Saint Louis you will likely be unable to afford hurricane insurance. But, I do encourage you to visit the area. It has a very interesting history!

Long Range Outlook 

Extended outlooks are trending much cooler and drier for the first week of August. It is quite unusual to see such a cool pattern develop at the beginning of August, though it’s not unheard of.

Temperature

TuesdayTemp

Precipitation 

Tuesdayrain

Weather Shot

Check out these absolutely stunning photos taken in Alberta, Canada during the July 23 severe weather episode. Notice how well that rotating updraft shows up! So often, storms in the South are so shrouded in rainfall that little detail can be seen with the cloud structure. Not so in the more northern latitudes. Now you see why my next storm chasing destination will be the northern plains/southern Canada? Photos by Gunjan Sinha (@gunjansinha2017).

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NASA Nerdology

The Opportunity Rover, launched in 2003, worked on the surface of Mars for over 14 years & found the mineral hematite on the planet, which is usually formed in water. Overall, its findings suggest that the red planet has a water-filled & possibly habitable past. Pretty cool, right? The next Mars Rover, Perseverance, is scheduled to launch on Thursday!

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You all have a great day!

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