Baldwin’s Friday Wx Blog for July 31

A goal without a plan is just a wish.

At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

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Threats

Any stronger storm today and tomorrow could produce torrential rainfall. Be careful if you’re out driving and end up under one of these storms. There is also the risk for a damaging wind gust.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

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Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

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Daily Forecast

Today and Tomorrow: Scattered showers and storms. Some storms will produce torrential rainfall.

Sunday – Thursday: Partly cloudy, with a chance for a mainly afternoon/evening shower or storm. Pleasant overnight temps.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Today and tomorrow are the worst of the next seven day days. Scattered showers and storms will make outside work difficult. From Sunday to Thursday, it looks like we will only be dodging a slight chance for an afternoon shower or storm.

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Almanac

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Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 122 at Death Valley, California

Low: 31 at Grand Lake, Colorado

Tropics

Isaias became a hurricane yesterday evening. Winds are now at 80 mph. The storm is expected to reach a maximum intensity of 100 mph just off the Florida coast. The current track forecast has the storm coming perilously close to the Florida coast and possibly making landfall in the Carolinas. The National Hurricane Center emphasizes that both the track and intensity of Isaias are uncertain at this point.

FridayHurricane

And we have two more areas of concern to watch in the coming days. The tropics are certainly becoming very, very active! We’ve never seen a hurricane season so active, so early in the year (since records have been kept).

FridayTropics

Today’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

The threat for flash flooding can be found across parts of the Midsouth, which includes our own area. You’ll notice Hurricane Isaias near Cuba.

FridayThreat

Tomorrow’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall threatens the Oho Valley, while Hurricane Isaias tracks toward the US.

FridayThreat2

Sunday’s 

Wx Hazards Across the Nation

On it’s current track, Hurricane Isaias is expected to skirt the coast of Florida on Sunday, as it tracks northward.

FridayThreat3

Records

When I was in grad school I studied flash flooding. Today is the anniversary of one of the more intriguing case studies I looked at.

On this day in 1976 a stationary thunderstorm produced ten inches (maybe more) of rain over the narrow Thompson River Canyon in northeastern Colorado. The water funneled through the canyon, reaching depths of over 20 feet. The wall of water left a 25-mile path of destruction down the canyon from Estes Park to Loveland. The flood caught campers off-guard and washed away bridges and roads. The damage was extensive. The flash flood killed 156 people.

Today, sirens are in place to warn of flash flooding. For many caught by this flash flood, they were so far away from the storm they couldn’t even hear the thunder.

Long Range Outlook 

Cooler and drier weather continue to look likely in the extended outlook for the middle and end of next week.

Temperature

FridayTemp

Precipitation 

FridayRain

Weather Shot

I snapped this pic yesterday evening. It’s a bear, right? Maybe a cow? You see it, right? lol

DSCN4017

NASA Nerdology

The rocket launch that carried Perseverance to space yesterday can be seen on satellite! Notice the smoke plume. How cool is that?

You all have a great day!

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