Baldwin’s Tuesday Wx Blog for Sept 1

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At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

Threats

Any storm that develops this week could be locally severe, with a damaging wind gust. The Storm Prediction Center has placed our region in the marginal risk for severe storms today, and the risk is just to our north tomorrow. Widespread severe weather, however, is not expected.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

Always be mindful that storms in this warm and humid airmass can always be on the strong side. And never forget that deadly cloud-to-ground lightning.

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

Daily Forecast

Today: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm.

Wednesday: A good chance for mainly afternoon/evening showers and storms.

Thursday: Partly cloudy, warm and humid. A chance for an afternoon/evening shower or storm.

Friday: A cold front arrives, bringing a big pattern change and a good chance for showers and storms.

Saturday – Sunday: Partly cloudy and quite nice! Low humidity.

Monday: Another cold front brings a chance for a shower or storm.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

Afternoon and evening rain chances continue to trivialize outdoor plans this week, especially Wednesday and Friday. BUT, a big cold front is coming for Friday, bringing drier and cooler weather that will begin on Saturday. That cooler pattern continues right on through the middle of September, as rain chances stay around normal. In other words, better fall hay weather days are coming next week if the forecast holds!

Almanac

Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 113 at both Death California, California and Rio Grande Village, Texas

Low: 16 at Peter Sinks, Utah

Tropics

While the tropics are certainly active, there are no current threats to the US and none are foreseen at this time. The system off the coast of North Carolina is moving out to sea, while the system in the Caribbean is moving toward Central America. The system off the coast of Africa is likely to curve out to sea. So, even thought the tropics are very active, our country is looking safe thus far.

Today’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Heavy rainfall threatens the southern plains and parts of the Lower Mississippi river Valley. Meanwhile, a tropical depression off the Carolina coast moves farther out to sea.

Tomorrow’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

More heavy rainfall threatens portions of the southern US, stretching from Kentucky to Texas. A wildfire danger increases across parts of Montana, with hot and dry conditions found there.

Thursday’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Severe storms threaten the Mid-Atlantic, while more heavy rain threatens parts of the southern plains.

On This Day

On this day in 1995 an Estill Springs man sustains minor injuries from a lightning strike as he sits outside on his patio. The lightning struck a nearby tree and then ran through the ground and up the legs of the metal chair he was sitting in. He suffers a stiff neck and shoulders, as well as temporary memory loss. Estill Springs is about 50 miles south of Murfreesboro, Tennessee.

Long Range Outlook 

Extended outlooks keep trending cooler and cooler for next week. It is looking VERY likely that we will have our first big shot of cool, fall-like air coming next week! Heck, we may even have some overnight lows in the 40s before the week is over! Average highs this time of year are in the lower 80s, with lows in the lower 60s. This particular outlook is for Sept. 6 – 10, but it looks to stay very cool right on into the middle of September.

Temperature

Precipitation 

Weather Shot

I shared this on Facebook yesterday, but it’s worth sharing here. This is a map, updated to Aug 31st, showing all the tropical storm and hurricane watches/warnings issued so far this year for the US. Needless to say, it has been a very active year. In many years, we don’t even have our first named storm until August! We’re already up to ‘N’ and it’s just September 1st. What a year!

NASA Nerdology

As the International Space Station orbited more than 200 miles above our home planet, the crew caught this glimpse of the sunrise casting long shadows over a cloudy Philippine Sea as the station orbited off the coast of the Philippines northeast of Manila. Notice the shadows of the towering storm clouds. How cool is that view?!

You all have a great day!

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