Baldwin’s Tuesday Wx Blog for Sept. 15

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At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

Threats

Severe weather concerns are very low at this time. The ingredients just aren’t there, especially after Thursday.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

The ingredients for severe weather are lacking this week, so the threat is very low. After Thursday, the threat level drops to zero for several days, possibly through all of next week!

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

Daily Forecast

Today: Partly to mostly cloudy, with just a slight chance for an afternoon/evening shower or t-shower.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, with a chance of showers in the afternoon, but mainly overnight. That threat is highest south of I-40.

Thursday: Scattered showers and thundershowers.

Friday: Decreasing clouds. This is the beginning of a nice, long stretch of days.

Saturday – Monday: Very pleasant, with sunshine and very low humidity.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

While Thursday shouldn’t be a total washout, the threat of a shower or storm all day will hinder any outdoor activities. Meanwhile, today and tomorrow are looking mostly cloudy but mostly dry, though a few of you may see a shower in the PM hours, especially south of I-40. I think the showers hold off late enough into the day Wednesday to allow it to be a decent day. After our front clears through Thursday night, we are set for a string of very nice days! That nice weather should last through much of next week. Total rainfall this week should stay around or under an inch for most of us.

Almanac

Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 110° at both Death Valley and Stovepipe Wells, California

Low: 22° at Stanley, Idaho

Tropics

All eyes are on Hurricane Sally today, as the storm very, very slowly makes it way toward the coastline of the northern Gulf Coast. Steering currents are weak and that is allowing the storm to absolutely crawl toward the coast. Many of us could walk faster than this storm is moving (literally!). The storm has weakened a bit to 85 mph and it should maintain that intensity up to landfall, if not weaken a bit more. The flooding from this storm will be the biggest threat, by far, as these slow moving storms can drop phenomenal amounts of rainfall (ie Harvey). The track has shifted eastward and now New Orleans looks fine. Mobile, Alabama, however, looks to be the new target. That southward shift takes much of the rain of Sally away from us, though a cold front should still bring us some rain Thursday.

The latest rainfall forecast for Sally. Notice the rain stays south of our area.

The storm surge forecast has some minimal storm surge for much of the coast, though some ares could still see some robust surge, owing to the slow-moving nature of the storm. The slow movement allows the storm to push more water onshore, since it has more time to do so.

This is as active as it gets, folks! Thankfully, Paulette is moving out to sea and is not a threat. Teddy is gathering strength and will need to be tracked, as it makes its way across the Atlantic. He is expected to become a major hurricane this week. Vicky is expected to weaken in time and shouldn’t be a threat. Another area of concern (orange X) will need to be tracked and watched very closely over the next week to ten days. It is expected to become another named storm. Keep in mind, we only have one name left before we have to start using the Greek alphabet.

Today’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

All eyes are on Sally, as she very slowly makes her way toward the northern Gulf Coast.

Tomorrow’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Hurricane Sally makes landfall along the northern Gulf Coast. Heavy rainfall and severe weather will overspread much of the Southeast.

 On This Day

On this day in 1752, a great hurricane produced a tide along the South Carolina coast which nearly inundated downtown Charleston. However, just before the tide reached the city, a shift in the wind caused the water level to drop five feet in ten minutes. Talk about a last-minute miracle!

Long Range Outlook 

Next week continues to look hot across the western US and cool here in the eastern US. Most everyone is looking dry. This is not good for the wildfires out west.

Temperature

Precipitation 

Weather Shot

Hurricane Hunters get some of the best views! This was taken yesterday as they approached Hurricane Sally. How cool is that pic?

NASA Nerdology

A rather big announcement came from NASA yesterday. We found aliens! (haha) Ok, not really. BUT, we may be a BIG step closer to discovering another form of life in our solar system. We have yet to discover ANY life outside of Earth.

The exciting research comes from the discovery of phosphine in the atmosphere of Venus. Perhaps 100 million years ago or so, Venus was much like Earth, with water and life. Who knows? All we know is that phosphine is found on Earth in the presence of microbes. Is there microbial life giving off this gas on Venus? It’s certainly possible. Perhaps there was life on Venus in the past and all that is left are microbes?

Until now, any form of life on Venus was deemed impossible due to the extremely harsh conditions there. Perhaps we’ve underestimated Earth’s sister planet all this time? Stay tuned! Any discovery of life, even microbial, will be deemed one of the greatest discoveries of mankind. You’ll remember where you were when you first heard the news…..if we ever get that news! (ha) As for me, it would be weirder for their NOT to be something else out there, especially microbial, than it would be for there to be something else.

Pictured below is an artist’s rendition of what Venus may have looked like millions of years ago.Looks familiar, right?

You all have a great day!

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