Baldwin’s Sunday Story Wx Blog for Sept. 20

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At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

Threats

Hazardous weather is not expected over the next 7-10 days.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

Daily Forecast

Today – Wednesday: Sunny and pleasant days.

Thursday – Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy , with a chance for a shower, as “Beta” approaches the area. This is dependent upon Beta’s track.

Today’s Choice of Outdoor Activity

It’s a fine day to be outside. It’s also a find day to chill in the hammock.

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

The weather for today through Wednesday looks perfect. After that, it just depends on the track of Beta. Regardless of where the storm tracks, by the time it gets into our neck of the woods it will likely be so washed and weak, that it is highly unlikely that we would see much rainfall. Areas south of I-40 would likely have better rain chances than areas north of the interstate. I’ll keep an eye on all that.

Almanac

Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 110° at Brawley, California

Low: 19° at Grayling, Michigan

Tropics

It now looks like Tropical Storm Beta will make landfall on the Texas coast early this week. The storm should then turn northeastward and may end up in our neck of the woods at the end of the week. That could bring us some showers. That track could easily change, so stay tuned.

We now have an area to watch off the Florida east coast, though its chance for development is only at 10%. Farther east, Hurricane Teddy will move toward Bermuda and eventually Nova Scotia. Wilfred is expected to weaken into a depression but that will still need to be monitored closely. Sometimes those systems reorganize as they trek westward. And then the remnants of Paulette (orange X) may redevelop this week. That system would continue to be named Paulette, since it has never lost its circulation.

Today’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

It’s a rather quiet day across the country, though some unsettled weather can be found in the Southeast, as Tropical Storm Beta spins in the Gulf.

Tomorrow’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

The threat for heavy rainfall can be found along the Texas coast and western Louisiana coast, as Tropical Storm Beta moves closer to the coastline.

 On This Day

On this day in 1845, a tornado traveled 275 miles across Lake Ontario, New York and Lake Champlain.

Sunday Story

The naming of tropical systems began in 1953. At that time, storms were only given female names. By 1978, the use of alternating male and female names began. 

Naming the storms makes it easier to communicate information about the storm, especially when there are multiple storms threatening at once. Naming also helps when documenting a storm’s effects afterwards. 

While there are 26 letters in the alphabet, only 21 names are derived from those letters. The letters Q, U, X, Y, and Z have no names for them. 

During the historic 2005 outbreak of tropical storms and hurricanes, the National Hurricane Center ran out of names for storms for the first time since naming began. When all 21 names are used, the naming system defaults to the Greek alphabet, beginning with Alpha, then Beta, and so forth. There are 24 Greek letters available. 

The 2020 season will be the second time that we have exhausted our alphabet names and resort to the Greek alphabet. This season is on track to contain the most named storms of any season on record. 

A combination of factors must come together to create a record season. Warm ocean temperatures are needed. Water temperatures of at least 80 degrees are required to sustain a hurricane. That warm water evaporates easily into the air, creating a very humid air mass that fuels storms.

The atmosphere must cooperate, too. Tropical systems need a moist atmosphere, free of any dry air intrusions of any kind. If the winds are too strong in the atmosphere, the storm will tear apart. Winds must be light throughout the atmosphere to sustain the bigger storms. 

Hurricanes are the most powerful storms on earth. Let’s just hope and pray that future storms this season keep that power out at sea.  

You all have a great day!

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