Baldwin’s First Day of Fall Wx blog for Sept. 22

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At a Glance

48-Hour Weather

Threats

Hazardous weather is not expected this week. General thunderstorms could occur the end of this week and into the weekend, but those storms are expected to stay below severe limits.

Baldwin’s Severe Weather Concern

Baldwin’s 7-Day forecast

Daily Forecast

Today: Mostly sunny and pleasant. An incredible way to kick off a new season!

Wednesday: Partly to mostly cloudy.

Thursday – Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a chance for a shower or three.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with scattered showers and t-storms.

Monday: Partly cloudy, with a chance for a shower.

Today’s Choice of Outdoor Activity

With rain chances increasing a bit by the end of the week, it’s a good day get out there with the ole lawn mower!

Baldwin’s Hay Day Forecast

The best chance of rain continues to look best on Sunday. The good news is that the next couple of days look superb. Then, some moisture from “Beta” will bring a few showers to the area by the end of the week, though that moisture does not look impressive and will be greatest south of I-40.

Almanac

Yesterday’s National High and Low Temperature

High: 111° at Death Valley, California

Low: 15° at Big Piney, Wyoming

Tropics

It now looks a weakening and unraveling “Beta” will move into northern Mississippi by late Thursday night. As the system continues to weaken, it should move into our area by the very end of the week, bringing us a few showers.

The tropics remain very active but Beta is the only concern to the US, with the exception of the dangerous rip tides Hurricane Teddy is producing along the East Coast today. That disturbance over Cuba is unlikely to develop, but we can’t take our eyes off anything this time of year. Paulette has regenerated in the eastern Atlantic and is moving toward the east.

Today’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

Tropical Storm Beta is about the only thing going on today across the country, as far as weather is concerned. That system is barely a tropical storm this morning, but it will continue to bring the threat of heavy rainfall to the Texas and Louisiana coastline, as well as into the northern portions of Louisiana and southern Arkansas. Hurricane Teddy is moving north through the western Atlantic, kicking up 30-60 foot waves! Very dangerous rip currents will be found along the East Coast today from that storm. Teddy will move northward into eastern Canada over the next few days.

Tomorrow’s Wx Hazards Across the Nation

The remnants of Beta will bring the potential for some heavy downpours across the Lower Mississippi River Valley. Those downpours could lead to some flash flooding.

 On This Day

On this day in 1989, Hurricane Hugo quickly lost strength over South Carolina, but was still a tropical storm when it crossed into North Carolina, just west of Charlotte, at about 7:00 am. Winds around the Charlotte area reached 69 mph, with gusts to 99 mph! Eighty percent of the power was knocked out to Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. Property damage in North Carolina topped 210 million dollars, and damage to crops was estimated at 97 million dollars. The strongest storm surge occurred along the southern coast shortly after midnight, reaching nine feet above sea level at ocean Isle and Sunset Beach. Other areas had a surge as high as 20 feet.

Long Range Outlook 

It’s looking like September will end on a cool note for many of us in the central and eastern US. Thankfully, wetter conditions are expected across the Northeast, where so many ares are quite dry. Unfortunately, hot and dry conditions look to prevail out west, where they could really use some rainfall. I’m afraid we’ll be hearing about big wildfires out west again for next week.

Temperature

Precipitation 

Weather Shot

This is the scene in one area of Houston this morning, as Tropical Storm Beta continues to produce heavy rainfall on that area. I can understand shy this highway might be closed….. #gettheboat

NASA Nerdology

Astronomers have detected a small asteroid, named 2020 SO (possibly space junk), will be a temporary satellite of Earth from October 2020 till May 2021. It will complete two full orbits before departing into a heliocentric orbit again. “2020 SO” is estimated to be about 20-50 feet in diameter. Pictured below is the expected path of 2020 SO. You can see the Moon’s path in yellow. Am I the only one kinda wishing it would crash into the Moon so I could see that awesome sight with my telescope?…… (ha) My apologies to 2020 SO, if you’re reading this.

You all have a great day!

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