Upper Cumberland Wx for Thursday, Oct. 8

Headlines 

“Delta’s” rain begins arriving Friday afternoon/evening

A wet weekend ahead, with 1-2 inches of rain expected area-wide

The chance for severe wx with Delta for the plateau is very low

Video At a Glance

48-Hour WX

Seven-Day Forecast

Daily Forecast Summary

Today: Mostly sunny.

Friday: Mostly cloudy, with showers and breezy conditions developing during the afternoon/evening.

Saturday: Showers and a possible thundershower. Breezy.

Sunday: Scattered showers.

Monday: Partly to mostly cloudy, with just a slight chance for a mainly afternoon/evening/overnight shower.

Tuesday – Wednesday: Partly cloudy to mostly sunny.

Threats

The current track of Delta keeps much of the severe weather risk to our west and south. Still, we can’t rule out a rogue, rotating shower or storm with these types of systems. The risk for a quick tornado spin-up is quite low but not zero. I’ll keep an eye on things.

Meteorologist Mark’s Severe Wx Concern

Due to adjustments in the track forecast of Delta, I have lowered my severe weather concern for the plateau. We’re moving in the right direction!

Hay Wx Forecast

My suggestion is to wrap up that Fall hay harvesting for the week by noon Friday. After that point, rain chances increase and it gets downright wet by Friday night. At this time, next week is looking cooler and mostly dry.

On This Day in Wx History

On this day in 1901, a deluge at Galveston, Texas, produced nearly twelve inches of rain in about a six hour period! The rains came precisely thirteen months after the day of the famous Galveston hurricane disaster.

Almanac

Yesterday’s National Temperature Extremes

High: 106° at Winterhaven, California  

Low: at Peter Sinks, Utah

Tropical Outlook

Hurricane Delta is expected to gather strength in the Gulf today, as it moves northward toward the Louisiana coastline. Unfortunately, it looks like Delta will make landfall as a strong hurricane right where Hurricane Laura hit just six weeks ago. It is odd for the same area to be hit by powerful hurricanes twice in a decade, much less in the same season!

The storm will then quickly weaken, as it moves north toward Tennessee.

The rainfall forecast keeps much of the heaviest rain from Delta to our west, though we could still see 1-2 inches of rain across the plateau.

Today’s National Wx Hazards

A wildfire danger can be found again today across parts of Montana, but all eyes are on a strengthening Hurricane Delta, as that storm makes its way northward through the Gulf of Mexico today.

Tomorrow’s National Wx Hazards

Hurricane Delta closes in on the Gulf Coast of Louisiana. Heavy rainfall and severe weather will overspread the Lower Mississippi River Valley.

 8 – 14 Day Outlook

Warm weather on both ends of the country, with cooler weather in the middle, continues to be the trend in this time period. Many of us in the US are dry, with the exception of the Northeast. This outlook would mean very pleasant October weather for our area beginning at the end of next week.

Temperature

Precipitation 

Weather Shots

This map shows major hurricane landfalls since 1851. A major hurricane is cat 3 or higher, or winds of 111 mph or higher. Notice southwest Louisiana. An interesting map, indeed!

NASA Nerdology 

NASA’s Cassini spacecraft snapped this stunning group portrait of five of Saturn’s moons in 2011. Janus, Pandora, Enceladus, and Mimas (left to right) are fully visible, but it appears that Rhea was a bit camera shy—only half of Saturn’s second largest moon is in view. How cool is this picture?

You all have a great day!

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