Upper Cumberland Wx for Sunday, Oct. 18

Headlines 

Warming trend underway

Mostly dry week ahead

48-Hour WX

Seven-Day Forecast

Daily Forecast Summary

Today – Wednesday: Partly cloudy and warm.

Thursday: Perhaps more clouds, but continued dry.

Friday – Saturday: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a slight chance for showers.

Meteorologist Mark’s Severe Wx Concern

Threats

No hazardous weather is expected this week.

On This Day in Wx History

1906 – A hurricane struck South Florida, drowning 124 persons stranded in the Florida Keys.

Almanac

Yesterday’s National Temperature Extremes

High: 105° at Palm Springs, Mecca, and Winterhaven, California 

Low: 11° at Neihart, Montana

Tropical Outlook

We still have a couple of interesting areas to watch. The red-shaded region will likely become a named storm very soon but should stay at sea. The yellow-shaded region has a lesser chance, but if it does develop into something it could be a threat to the US. I’ll keep an eye on things.

Today’s National Wx Hazards

Unsettled weather can be found across a large portion of the country, with that unsettled weather being quite wintery for folks across the north. Accumulating snowfall is possible across Montana and parts of North Dakota.

Tomorrow’s National Wx Hazards

Accumulating snowfall is again possible across the northern plains.

Weather Shots

I had the great pleasure of officiating my first wedding yesterday evening! As a County Commissioner, I’m able to officiate weddings. I was honored to perform the ceremony for Matilda and Ben Bouton. We wish them all the best as they begin this very exciting journey. I snapped this pic of the chapel in the evening. The weather was perfect. The venue was Lanes Bend in Cookeville, TN.

Sunday Story

This Autumn season is shaping up to be a beautiful one across the plateau. Plenty of rainfall, cool nights, and warm afternoons are coming together to create the perfect conditions for vibrant leaf colors. While this is the pretty side of Autumn, we can’t forget that this season can have an ugly side too. 

The Autumn season is the secondary peak of severe weather for the plateau.  Much like the spring, we have cold fronts that begin moving through, ushering in a change of seasons. 

Thankfully, the airmass in place this time of year tends to be drier. Since moisture in the air is the fuel for storms, that keeps a lot of the storms from reaching their full severe potential. 

While there has never been a recorded tornado on the plateau in October, there have been several reported in November. Most notable is the November 10, 2002 tornado outbreak that produced deadly tornadoes in Cumberland and Morgan Counties. In total, 11 people lost their lives to tornadoes on the plateau that day.

In 1957, a November tornado injured two people in Fentress County. The twister tracked through Armathwaite, Shirley, and Mt. Helen. The tornado produced winds ranging from 113 to 157 mph. 

In the early morning hours of November 26, 1973, a twister destroyed a house and a trailer in the Allons community of Overton County. Thankfully, no one was hurt.

In total, there have been 215 people hurt and 54 people killed across Middle Tennessee in November tornadoes, since records began in 1867.

Review your severe weather safety plan. Put as many walls as you can between you and the outside. Wear a helmet to protect your head. If you live in a trailer or mobile home, find more substantial shelter.

Make sure you enjoy those beautiful Autumn colors, but make sure you don’t forget the ugly side of Autumn.   

You all have a great day!

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