Rain develops today
Around one inch of total rainfall is expected by Wednesday night
Mild weather continues
Active tropics become historical again
Meteorologist Mark’s Vlog in a Flash
Daily Forecast Summary
Tuesday: Partly to mostly cloudy. Showers developing. Very breezy.
Wednesday: Showers and thundershowers likely. Ending overnight.
Thursday – Friday: Partly cloudy and mild.
Saturday – Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy, with a chance for showers. The remnants of Eta could bring us widespread rainfall Saturday night. I’ll keep an eye on that.
Monday: Mostly sunny and cooler.
Meteorologist Mark’s Severe Wx Concern
Any thunderstorm that develops today through tomorrow should stay below severe limits.
Another storm system will move into the area this weekend, including the possible remnants of Eta. At this time, severe storms are not expected.
On This Day in Wx History
2002- Middle Tennessee suffers one of its worst autumn severe weather outbreaks ever. Four tornadoes strike the Highland Rim during the early morning, with 2 fatalities in Port Royal. Then, following record high temperatures at Nashville (81) and Crossville (75), severe weather re-ignites during the late afternoon, with widespread wind damage, hail, and 8 additional tornadoes. Lake Tansi, south of Crossville, is hardest hit, as a supercell produces baseball-size hail and an F3 tornado, killing 4. Two additional fatalities occur at New Union (Coffee County) as the result of two F2 tornadoes there. In addition to the 8 fatalities, 51 injuries are reported across the area.
Farther east, a powerful twister struck the Mossy Grove community of Morgan County, killing 7 people.
Yesterday’s National Temperature Extremes
High: 96° at Rio Grande Village, Texas
Low: -8° at Anaconda, Montana
With the development of Theta last night, the 2020 season has now become the most active on record, besting the historic 2005 season by one. This is a chart showing all the names of the storms we’ve had this year. Iota will likely be added this week. The various colors show the different “normals” for a season. This season is off the charts when it comes to being above those normals. The dots are a comparison to the last historic season we had in 2005.
Eta took a trip southwestward yesterday and is just far enough away from Florida to spare them the heavy rain and gusty winds it looked like they would have last night and today. The storm is expected to remain a tropical storm, though cat 1 hurricane status is certainly not impossible at some point. As the storm nears the Gulf Coast, increasing wind shear should nearly tear the storm apart and downgrade the system to a depression.
Tropical Storm Theta can be seen spinning in the eastern Atlantic, moving toward Europe. Yet another tropical storm is likely to form in the Caribbean over the next few days. That storm will be Iota. It looks like that storm could affect the same areas that were devastated by Eta in Central America. Let’s hope not!
Today’s National Wx Hazards
A cold front could spark some severe storms today across northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. All modes of severe weather are possible, including a few tornadoes. Farther west, wintry precip will threaten an area stretching from Nebraska to Minnesota and northern Wisconsin and northern Michigan. Quite the variety of weather across the state of Wisconsin today! Meanwhile, another winter storm moves into the Northwest, while Tropical Storm Eta spins in the southern Gulf. That’s a busy map, folks!
Tomorrow’s National Wx Hazards
Snowflakes fly across the northern Rockies, while heavy rainfall threaten the Carolinas, the Virginias, and Maryland. Tropical Storm Eta continues to spin the Gulf and slowly move northward.
8 – 14 Day Outlook (NOv 17-23)
Warm and dry conditions continue to look likely for our area for much of the middle to end of next week, as well as for much of the country. Record heat could be building for the central and southern plains.
A beautiful sunset photo taken yesterday by Don Meaux in Louisiana. A beautiful photo, indeed.
The Apollo 4 mission launched from Kennedy Space Center during this week in 1967. The success of this test mission, which marked the first flight of the Saturn V rocket, brought us one step closer to putting the first humans to the Moon! We were only seven missions away from the one that would land us on the Moon.